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UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg

Per-fight deep-read with every channel's full pick set, market consensus, and per-channel historical loyalty.
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Alexandre Pantoja
VS
FIGHT 01
Fly
weight
Steve Erceg
analysts picked3/5
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R5 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Steve Erceg (3 of 5), with Alexandre Pantoja (2) as the counter. Method: KO OR SUB and SUBMISSION tied (2 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Steve Erceg a total of 13 times and against 4 times, while Alexandre Pantoja has been picked 9 times and against 7 times.
Alexandre Pantoja 2
MONEYLINE
3 Steve Erceg
SUBMISSION 1 1✗
METHOD
2 SUBMISSION 1✓ 1✗
0
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR SUB 1✗
0
ROUND
2 R3 2✗
PANTOJA UNDER 2.5 1
TAKEDOWNS
0
PANTOJA UNDER 17.5 2
CONTROL TIME
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (5 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
LucasTracyMMAdefinitive MONEYLINEAlexandre Pantoja Alexandre Pantoja: 1for 0vs Steve Erceg: 0for 1vs
Mightydefinitive MONEYLINEAlexandre Pantoja METHODSUBMISSION TAKEDOWNSPantoja U2.5 TD CONTROL TIMEPantoja U17.5 Ctrl Alexandre Pantoja: 3for 0vs Steve Erceg: 1for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINESteve Erceg METHODSUBMISSION COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB ROUNDROUND 3 Alexandre Pantoja: 1for 3vs Steve Erceg: 4for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINESteve Erceg METHODDECISION COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB ROUNDROUND 3 CONTROL TIMEPantoja O18.5 Ctrl Alexandre Pantoja: 3for 1vs Steve Erceg: 4for 1vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINESteve Erceg Alexandre Pantoja: 1for 3vs Steve Erceg: 4for 0vs
Drakkar Klose
analysts picked3/4
VS
FIGHT 02
Light
weight
Joaquim Silva
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Drakkar Klose (3 of 4), with Joaquim Silva (1) as the counter. Method: DECISION (2).
Analysts have picked Drakkar Klose a total of 3 times and against 6 times, while Joaquim Silva has been picked 1 times and against 6 times.
Drakkar Klose 3
MONEYLINE
1 Joaquim Silva
DECISION 2 2✓
METHOD
0
KO OR SUB 1 1✗
COMPOUND METHOD
0
KLOSE OVER 1.5 1
TAKEDOWNS
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
LucasTracyMMAdefinitive MONEYLINEDrakkar Klose METHODDECISION Drakkar Klose: 1for 0vs Joaquim Silva: 0for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEDrakkar Klose METHODDECISION Drakkar Klose: 1for 2vs Joaquim Silva: 0for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEDrakkar Klose COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB TAKEDOWNSKlose O1.5 TD Drakkar Klose: 1for 2vs Joaquim Silva: 0for 2vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINEJoaquim Silva Drakkar Klose: 0for 2vs Joaquim Silva: 1for 1vs
Alessandro Costa
analysts picked3/4
VS
FIGHT 03
Fly
weight
Kevin Borjas
OFFICIAL · KO · R2 ·1:35
▸ The Verdict The room leans Alessandro Costa (3 of 4), with Kevin Borjas (1) as the counter. Method: DECISION (2).
Analysts have picked Alessandro Costa a total of 5 times and against 1 times, while Kevin Borjas has been picked 5 times and against 7 times.
Alessandro Costa 3
MONEYLINE
1 Kevin Borjas
DECISION 2 2✗
METHOD
1 KNOCKOUT 1✓
OVER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
LucasTracyMMAdefinitive MONEYLINEAlessandro Costa METHODDECISION Alessandro Costa: 1for 0vs Kevin Borjas: 0for 1vs
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEKevin Borjas METHODKNOCKOUT Alessandro Costa: 0for 1vs Kevin Borjas: 2for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEAlessandro Costa METHODDECISION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Alessandro Costa: 2for 0vs Kevin Borjas: 1for 3vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEAlessandro Costa Alessandro Costa: 2for 0vs Kevin Borjas: 2for 2vs
Jose Aldo
analysts picked3/5
VS
FIGHT 04
Bantam
weight
Jonathan Martinez
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Jose Aldo (3 of 5), with Jonathan Martinez (2) as the counter. Method: DECISION and KNOCKOUT tied (2 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Jose Aldo a total of 9 times and against 3 times, while Jonathan Martinez has been picked 2 times and against 5 times.
Jose Aldo 3
MONEYLINE
2 Jonathan Martinez
KNOCKOUT 2 2✗
METHOD
2 DECISION 2✓
→ DIST 1
GOES DISTANCE
0
R2 1 1✗
ROUND
0
OVER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
1 UNDER2.5
1
STRIKE LEADER
0
0
SIG STRIKES
1 MARTINEZ UNDER 63.5
0
TAKEDOWNS
1 MARTINEZ UNDER 0.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (5 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
LucasTracyMMAdefinitive MONEYLINEJose Aldo METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 2 STRIKE LEADERAldo Jose Aldo: 1for 0vs Jonathan Martinez: 0for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEJonathan Martinez METHODDECISION GOES DISTANCE→ DIST ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Jose Aldo: 2for 1vs Jonathan Martinez: 1for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEJonathan Martinez METHODDECISION TAKEDOWNSMartinez U0.5 TD Jose Aldo: 2for 1vs Jonathan Martinez: 1for 1vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINEJose Aldo METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Jose Aldo: 1for 1vs Jonathan Martinez: 0for 1vs
Mightylean MONEYLINEJose Aldo SIG STRIKESMartinez U63.5 Str Jose Aldo: 3for 0vs Jonathan Martinez: 0for 1vs
Dione Barbosa
analysts picked3/3
VS
FIGHT 05
Women's
Fly
weight
Ernesta Kareckaite
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Dione Barbosa (3 of 3). Method: SUB OR DEC and DECISION and UNANIMOUS DEC tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Dione Barbosa a total of 6 times and against 3 times, while Ernesta Kareckaite has been picked 2 times and against 5 times.
Dione Barbosa 3
MONEYLINE
0
UNANIMOUS DEC 2 2✓
METHOD
0
SUB OR DEC 1 1✓
COMPOUND METHOD
0
OVER1.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEDione Barbosa METHODUNANIMOUS DEC COMPOUND METHODSUB OR DEC Dione Barbosa: 1for 0vs Ernesta Kare: 0for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEDione Barbosa METHODDECISION Dione Barbosa: 2for 2vs Ernesta Kare: 0for 3vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEDione Barbosa ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 1.5 Dione Barbosa: 3for 1vs Ernesta Kare: 2for 1vs
Joanderson Brito
analysts picked4/4
VS
FIGHT 06
Feather
weight
Jack Shore
OFFICIAL · KO · R2 ·3:35
▸ The Verdict The room leans Joanderson Brito (4 of 4). Method: KO OR SUB (2).
Analysts have picked Joanderson Brito a total of 13 times and against 2 times, while Jack Shore has been picked 0 times and against 6 times.
Joanderson Brito 4
MONEYLINE
0
DECISION 2 2✗
METHOD
0
KO OR SUB 2 2✓
COMPOUND METHOD
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
LucasTracyMMAdefinitive MONEYLINEJoanderson Brito Joanderson Brito: 1for 1vs Jack Shore: 0for 1vs
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEJoanderson Brito Joanderson Brito: 2for 1vs Jack Shore: 0for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEJoanderson Brito METHODDECISION COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Joanderson Brito: 5for 0vs Jack Shore: 0for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEJoanderson Brito METHODUNANIMOUS DEC COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Joanderson Brito: 5for 0vs Jack Shore: 0for 2vs
Ismael Bonfim
analysts picked4/4
VS
FIGHT 07
Light
weight
Vinc Pichel
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Ismael Bonfim (4 of 4). Method: KO OR SUB (3).
Analysts have picked Ismael Bonfim a total of 6 times and against 3 times, while Vinc Pichel has been picked 1 times and against 5 times.
Ismael Bonfim 4
MONEYLINE
0
KNOCKOUT 1 1✗
METHOD
0
KO OR SUB 3 3✗
COMPOUND METHOD
0
R2 1 1✗
ROUND
0
UNDER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
1 OVER1.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
LucasTracyMMAdefinitive MONEYLINEIsmael Bonfim COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Ismael Bonfim: 1for 0vs Vinc Pichel: 0for 1vs
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEIsmael Bonfim COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB ROUNDROUND 2 ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Ismael Bonfim: 2for 0vs Vinc Pichel: 0for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEIsmael Bonfim METHODKNOCKOUT COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Ismael Bonfim: 1for 2vs Vinc Pichel: 0for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEIsmael Bonfim ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 1.5 Ismael Bonfim: 2for 1vs Vinc Pichel: 1for 1vs
Anthony Smith
VS
FIGHT 08
Light-
Heavy
weight
Vitor Petrino
analysts picked4/4
OFFICIAL · SUBMISSION · R1 ·2:00
▸ The Verdict The room leans Vitor Petrino (4 of 4). Method: KO OR SUB and KNOCKOUT and DECISION tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Vitor Petrino a total of 12 times and against 3 times, while Anthony Smith has been picked 3 times and against 8 times.
0
MONEYLINE
4 Vitor Petrino
0
METHOD
2 DECISION 2✗
0
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR SUB 1✓
→ DIST 1
GOES DISTANCE
0
0
ROUND
1 R2 1✗
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
LucasTracyMMAdefinitive MONEYLINEVitor Petrino METHODDECISION Anthony Smith: 0for 1vs Vitor Petrino: 2for 0vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEVitor Petrino METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 2 Anthony Smith: 1for 3vs Vitor Petrino: 4for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEVitor Petrino Anthony Smith: 1for 3vs Vitor Petrino: 4for 1vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINEVitor Petrino COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB GOES DISTANCE→ DIST Anthony Smith: 1for 1vs Vitor Petrino: 2for 1vs
Michel Pereira
analysts picked3/4
VS
FIGHT 09
Middle
weight
Ihor Potieria
OFFICIAL · SUBMISSION · R1 ·0:54
▸ The Verdict The room leans Michel Pereira (3 of 4), with Ihor Potieria (1) as the counter. Method: KO OR SUB and KNOCKOUT tied (2 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Michel Pereira a total of 12 times and against 3 times, while Ihor Potieria has been picked 1 times and against 7 times.
Michel Pereira 3
MONEYLINE
1 Ihor Potieria
KNOCKOUT 1 1✗
METHOD
1 KNOCKOUT 1✗
KO OR SUB 2 2✓
COMPOUND METHOD
0
R1 2 2✓
ROUND
1 R2 1✗
UNDER1.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
LucasTracyMMAdefinitive MONEYLINEMichel Pereira COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB ROUNDROUND 1 Michel Pereira: 1for 0vs Ihor Potieria: 0for 1vs
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEIhor Potieria METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 2 ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 1.5 Michel Pereira: 3for 1vs Ihor Potieria: 1for 0vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEMichel Pereira METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 1 Michel Pereira: 3for 2vs Ihor Potieria: 0for 3vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEMichel Pereira COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Michel Pereira: 5for 0vs Ihor Potieria: 0for 3vs
Mauricio Ruffy
analysts picked4/4
VS
FIGHT 10
Light
weight
Jamie Mullarkey
OFFICIAL · KO · R1 ·4:42
▸ The Verdict The room leans Mauricio Ruffy (4 of 4). Method: KNOCKOUT (3).
Analysts have picked Mauricio Ruffy a total of 12 times and against 3 times, while Jamie Mullarkey has been picked 3 times and against 6 times.
Mauricio Ruffy 4
MONEYLINE
0
KNOCKOUT 3 3✓
METHOD
0
R2 1
ROUND
0
UNDER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
LucasTracyMMAdefinitive MONEYLINEMauricio Ruffy METHODKNOCKOUT Mauricio Ruffy: 1for 0vs Jamie Mullarkey: 0for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEMauricio Ruffy METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 2 ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Mauricio Ruffy: 5for 0vs Jamie Mullarkey: 1for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEMauricio Ruffy METHODKNOCKOUT Mauricio Ruffy: 4for 1vs Jamie Mullarkey: 1for 2vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINEMauricio Ruffy Mauricio Ruffy: 2for 1vs Jamie Mullarkey: 1for 1vs
Iasmin Lucindo
analysts picked2/2
VS
FIGHT 11
Women's
Straw
weight
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Iasmin Lucindo (2 of 2). Method: DECISION (1).
Analysts have picked Iasmin Lucindo a total of 9 times and against 0 times, while Karolina Kowalkiewicz has been picked 0 times and against 7 times.
Iasmin Lucindo 2
MONEYLINE
0
DECISION 1 1✓
METHOD
0
OVER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
LUCINDO OVER 2 2
TAKEDOWNS
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (2 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEIasmin Lucindo METHODDECISION Iasmin Lucindo: 4for 0vs Karolina Kow: 0for 3vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEIasmin Lucindo ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 TAKEDOWNSLucindo O2 TD TAKEDOWNSLucindo O2.5 TD Iasmin Lucindo: 4for 0vs Karolina Kow: 0for 3vs
Myktybek Orolbai
analysts picked4/4
VS
FIGHT 12
Light
weight
Elves Brener
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Myktybek Orolbai (4 of 4). Method: DECISION and SUBMISSION tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Myktybek Orolbai a total of 11 times and against 1 times, while Elves Brener has been picked 3 times and against 6 times.
Myktybek Orolbai 4
MONEYLINE
0
SUBMISSION 2 1✓ 1✗
METHOD
0
→ DIST 1
GOES DISTANCE
0
R3 1
ROUND
0
OVER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
1
TAKEDOWN LEADER
0
OROLBAI OVER 3.5 1
TAKEDOWNS
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
LucasTracyMMAdefinitive MONEYLINEMyktybek Orolbai METHODSUBMISSION Myktybek Orolbai: 1for 0vs Elves Brener: 0for 1vs
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEMyktybek Orolbai GOES DISTANCE→ DIST ROUNDROUND 3 ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Myktybek Orolbai: 0for 1vs Elves Brener: 1for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEMyktybek Orolbai METHODDECISION Myktybek Orolbai: 5for 0vs Elves Brener: 1for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEMyktybek Orolbai TAKEDOWN LEADEROrolbai TAKEDOWNSOrolbai O3.5 TD Myktybek Orolbai: 5for 0vs Elves Brener: 1for 2vs
Caio Borralho
analysts picked4/4
VS
FIGHT 13
Middle
weight
Paul Craig
OFFICIAL · KO · R2 ·2:10
▸ The Verdict The room leans Caio Borralho (4 of 4). Method: KO OR SUB (2).
Analysts have picked Caio Borralho a total of 10 times and against 2 times, while Paul Craig has been picked 0 times and against 12 times.
Caio Borralho 4
MONEYLINE
0
KNOCKOUT 2 1✓ 1✗
METHOD
0
KO OR SUB 2 2✓
COMPOUND METHOD
0
R2 2 1✓ 1✗
ROUND
0
OVER1.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
BORRALHO OVER 37.5 1
SIG STRIKES
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
LucasTracyMMAdefinitive MONEYLINECaio Borralho METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 2 Caio Borralho: 1for 0vs Paul Craig: 0for 1vs
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINECaio Borralho COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Caio Borralho: 3for 0vs Paul Craig: 0for 2vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINECaio Borralho METHODDECISION ROUNDROUND 3 ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 1.5 Caio Borralho: 3for 1vs Paul Craig: 0for 4vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINECaio Borralho COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB SIG STRIKESBorralho O37.5 Str Caio Borralho: 3for 1vs Paul Craig: 0for 4vs