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UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2

Per-fight deep-read with every channel's full pick set, market consensus, and per-channel historical loyalty.
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Merab Dvalishvili
analysts picked4/5
VS
FIGHT 01
Bantam
weight
Petr Yan
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R5 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Merab Dvalishvili (4 of 5), with Petr Yan (1) as the counter. Method: DECISION (2).
Analysts have picked Merab Dvalishvili a total of 8 times and against 14 times, while Petr Yan has been picked 8 times and against 4 times.
Merab Dvalishvili 4
MONEYLINE
1 Petr Yan
DECISION 3 2✓ 1✗
METHOD
0—
→ DIST 1
GOES DISTANCE
0 —
OVER4.5 2
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
1 OVER5.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (5 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEPetr Yan Merab Dvalishvili: 0for 4vs Petr Yan: 2for 0vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEMerab Dvalishvili METHODSUBMISSION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 5.5 Merab Dvalishvili: 2for 3vs Petr Yan: 2for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEMerab Dvalishvili METHODDECISION GOES DISTANCE→ DIST ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 4.5 Merab Dvalishvili: 1for 3vs Petr Yan: 2for 1vs
Tim Welchdefinitive MONEYLINEMerab Dvalishvili METHODDECISION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 4.5 Merab Dvalishvili: 2for 2vs Petr Yan: 0for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEMerab Dvalishvili Merab Dvalishvili: 3for 2vs Petr Yan: 2for 1vs
Antonio Trocoli
VS
FIGHT 02
Middle
weight
Mansur Abdul-Malik
analysts picked4/4
OFFICIAL · SUBMISSION · R1 ·1:09
▸ The Verdict The room leans Mansur Abdul-Malik (4 of 4). Method: KO OR SUB (2).
Analysts have picked Mansur Abdul-Malik a total of 11 times and against 4 times, while Antonio Trocoli has been picked 1 times and against 10 times.
—0
MONEYLINE
4 Mansur Abdul-Malik
—0
METHOD
1 SUBMISSION 1✓
—0
COMPOUND METHOD
2 KO OR SUB 2✓
—0
ROUND
2 R2 2✗
OVER1.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEMansur Abdul-Malik ROUNDROUND 2 Antonio Trocoli: 0for 1vs Mansur Abdul: 1for 0vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEMansur Abdul-Malik METHODSUBMISSION COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Antonio Trocoli: 0for 4vs Mansur Abdul: 4for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEMansur Abdul-Malik ROUNDROUND 2 ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 1.5 Antonio Trocoli: 0for 2vs Mansur Abdul: 3for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEMansur Abdul-Malik COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Antonio Trocoli: 1for 3vs Mansur Abdul: 3for 2vs
Fares Ziam
VS
FIGHT 03
Light
weight
Nazim Sadykhov
analysts picked2/4
OFFICIAL · KO · R2 ·4:59
▸ The Verdict The room leans Nazim Sadykhov (2 of 4, def-tiebreak), with Fares Ziam (2) as the counter. Method: DECISION (2).
Analysts have picked Nazim Sadykhov a total of 7 times and against 4 times, while Fares Ziam has been picked 7 times and against 8 times.
Fares Ziam 2
MONEYLINE
2 Nazim Sadykhov
DECISION 2 2✗
METHOD
1 SUBMISSION 1✗
—0
TAKEDOWN LEADER
1
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINENazim Sadykhov METHODSUBMISSION TAKEDOWN LEADERSadykhov Fares Ziam: 1for 3vs Nazim Sadykhov: 3for 0vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEFares Ziam METHODDECISION Fares Ziam: 2for 2vs Nazim Sadykhov: 1for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINENazim Sadykhov Fares Ziam: 1for 3vs Nazim Sadykhov: 3for 0vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINEFares Ziam METHODDECISION Fares Ziam: 3for 0vs Nazim Sadykhov: 0for 3vs
Edson Barboza
VS
FIGHT 04
Light
weight
Jalin Turner
analysts picked4/4
OFFICIAL · KO · R1 ·2:24
▸ The Verdict The room leans Jalin Turner (4 of 4). Method: KO OR SUB and KNOCKOUT tied (2 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Jalin Turner a total of 8 times and against 4 times, while Edson Barboza has been picked 6 times and against 5 times.
—0
MONEYLINE
4 Jalin Turner
—0
METHOD
2 KNOCKOUT 2✓
—0
COMPOUND METHOD
2 KO OR SUB 2✓
—0
ROUND
1 R1 1✓
UNDER1.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
1 UNDER2.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEJalin Turner COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB ROUNDROUND 1 ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 1.5 Edson Barboza: 1for 1vs Jalin Turner: 2for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEJalin Turner METHODKNOCKOUT COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Edson Barboza: 2for 1vs Jalin Turner: 3for 0vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEJalin Turner METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Edson Barboza: 1for 2vs Jalin Turner: 1for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEJalin Turner ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 1.5 Edson Barboza: 2for 1vs Jalin Turner: 1for 1vs
Brunno Ferreira
analysts picked2/4
VS
FIGHT 05
Middle
weight
Marvin Vettori
analysts picked2/4
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict Pure split. Brunno Ferreira and Marvin Vettori both at 2 picks with equal conviction — no consensus on the moneyline. Method: DECISION (2).
Analysts have picked Brunno Ferreira a total of 13 times and against 7 times, while Marvin Vettori has been picked 6 times and against 6 times.
Brunno Ferreira 2
MONEYLINE
2 Marvin Vettori
KNOCKOUT 1 1✗
METHOD
2 DECISION 2✓
KO OR SUB 1 1✗
COMPOUND METHOD
0—
R1 1 1✗
ROUND
0—
OVER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEBrunno Ferreira METHODKNOCKOUT Brunno Ferreira: 2for 1vs Marvin Vettori: 1for 2vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEMarvin Vettori METHODDECISION Brunno Ferreira: 3for 3vs Marvin Vettori: 3for 0vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEBrunno Ferreira COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB ROUNDROUND 1 Brunno Ferreira: 5for 0vs Marvin Vettori: 0for 3vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEMarvin Vettori METHODDECISION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Brunno Ferreira: 3for 3vs Marvin Vettori: 2for 1vs
Grant Dawson
analysts picked3/4
VS
FIGHT 06
Light
weight
Manuel Torres
OFFICIAL · KO · R1 ·2:25
▸ The Verdict The room leans Grant Dawson (3 of 4), with Manuel Torres (1) as the counter. Method: KO OR SUB and KNOCKOUT tied (2 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Grant Dawson a total of 9 times and against 6 times, while Manuel Torres has been picked 5 times and against 6 times.
Grant Dawson 3
MONEYLINE
1 Manuel Torres
KNOCKOUT 1 1✓
METHOD
1 KNOCKOUT 1✓
KO OR SUB 2 2✓
COMPOUND METHOD
0—
—0
ROUND
1 R1 1✓
OVER1.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
1 UNDER2.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEGrant Dawson COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Grant Dawson: 1for 0vs Manuel Torres: 0for 2vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEManuel Torres METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 1 Grant Dawson: 2for 3vs Manuel Torres: 2for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEGrant Dawson COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Grant Dawson: 2for 2vs Manuel Torres: 2for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEGrant Dawson METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 1.5 Grant Dawson: 4for 1vs Manuel Torres: 1for 2vs
Henry Cejudo
VS
FIGHT 07
Bantam
weight
Payton Talbott
analysts picked4/5
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Payton Talbott (4 of 5), with Henry Cejudo (1) as the counter. Method: DECISION (4).
Analysts have picked Payton Talbott a total of 12 times and against 4 times, while Henry Cejudo has been picked 1 times and against 8 times.
Henry Cejudo 1
MONEYLINE
4 Payton Talbott
DECISION 1 1✓
METHOD
3 DECISION 3✓
—0
ROUND
1 R3 1✗
OVER2.5 2
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (5 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEPayton Talbott ROUNDROUND 3 Henry Cejudo: 0for 2vs Payton Talbott: 3for 0vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEPayton Talbott METHODDECISION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Henry Cejudo: 0for 2vs Payton Talbott: 3for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEHenry Cejudo METHODDECISION Henry Cejudo: 1for 1vs Payton Talbott: 2for 2vs
Tim Welchdefinitive MONEYLINEPayton Talbott METHODDECISION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Henry Cejudo: 0for 1vs Payton Talbott: 1for 0vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEPayton Talbott METHODDECISION Henry Cejudo: 0for 2vs Payton Talbott: 3for 1vs
Bogdan Guskov
VS
FIGHT 08
Light-
Heavy
weight
Jan Blachowicz
analysts picked3/4
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·MAJORITY
▸ The Verdict The room leans Jan Blachowicz (3 of 4), with Bogdan Guskov (1) as the counter. Method: DECISION (3).
Analysts have picked Jan Blachowicz a total of 4 times and against 4 times, while Bogdan Guskov has been picked 6 times and against 4 times.
Bogdan Guskov 1
MONEYLINE
3 Jan Blachowicz
KNOCKOUT 1 1✗
METHOD
3 DECISION 3✓
KO OR SUB 1 1✗
COMPOUND METHOD
0—
R1 1 1✗
ROUND
0—
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEJan Blachowicz METHODDECISION Bogdan Guskov: 0for 1vs Jan Blachowicz: 1for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEBogdan Guskov METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 1 Bogdan Guskov: 3for 0vs Jan Blachowicz: 0for 2vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEJan Blachowicz METHODDECISION Bogdan Guskov: 2for 1vs Jan Blachowicz: 2for 0vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEJan Blachowicz METHODDECISION COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Bogdan Guskov: 1for 2vs Jan Blachowicz: 1for 1vs
Karine Silva
analysts picked2/4
VS
FIGHT 09
Women's
Fly
weight
Maycee Barber
analysts picked2/4
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict Pure split. Karine Silva and Maycee Barber both at 2 picks with equal conviction — no consensus on the moneyline. Method: KNOCKOUT and DECISION and SUBMISSION tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Karine Silva a total of 7 times and against 5 times, while Maycee Barber has been picked 4 times and against 2 times.
Karine Silva 2
MONEYLINE
2 Maycee Barber
SUBMISSION 2 1✓ 1✗
METHOD
1 KNOCKOUT 1✗
OVER2.5 2
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
1 OVER1.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEKarine Silva METHODDECISION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Karine Silva: 3for 1vs Maycee Barber: 1for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEMaycee Barber ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Karine Silva: 1for 3vs Maycee Barber: 2for 0vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINEKarine Silva METHODSUBMISSION Karine Silva: 2for 0vs Maycee Barber: 0for 1vs
THE MMA GURUhedge MONEYLINEMaycee Barber METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 1.5 Karine Silva: 1for 1vs Maycee Barber: 1for 0vs
Ibo Aslan
VS
FIGHT 10
Light-
Heavy
weight
Iwo Baraniewski
analysts picked4/4
OFFICIAL · KO · R1 ·1:29
▸ The Verdict The room leans Iwo Baraniewski (4 of 4). Method: KO OR SUB (2).
Analysts have picked Iwo Baraniewski a total of 11 times and against 0 times, while Ibo Aslan has been picked 4 times and against 8 times.
—0
MONEYLINE
4 Iwo Baraniewski
—0
METHOD
1 SUBMISSION 1✗
—0
COMPOUND METHOD
2 KO OR SUB 2✓
—0
ROUND
2 R1 2✓
UNDER1.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEIwo Baraniewski METHODSUBMISSION COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Ibo Aslan: 1for 3vs Iwo Baraniewski: 3for 0vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEIwo Baraniewski COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB ROUNDROUND 1 Ibo Aslan: 1for 2vs Iwo Baraniewski: 3for 0vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINEIwo Baraniewski ROUNDROUND 1 ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 1.5 Ibo Aslan: 0for 1vs Iwo Baraniewski: 2for 0vs
We Want Pickslean MONEYLINEIwo Baraniewski Ibo Aslan: 2for 2vs Iwo Baraniewski: 3for 0vs
Mairon Santos
analysts picked4/4
VS
FIGHT 11
Feather
weight
Muhammad Naimov
OFFICIAL · KO · R3 ·0:21
▸ The Verdict The room leans Mairon Santos (4 of 4). Method: DECISION (2).
Analysts have picked Mairon Santos a total of 11 times and against 3 times, while Muhammad Naimov has been picked 8 times and against 6 times.
Mairon Santos 4
MONEYLINE
0—
DECISION 2 2✗
METHOD
0—
R2 1
ROUND
0—
OVER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEMairon Santos Mairon Santos: 3for 0vs Muhammad Naimov: 0for 3vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEMairon Santos METHODDECISION Mairon Santos: 2for 2vs Muhammad Naimov: 3for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEMairon Santos ROUNDROUND 2 Mairon Santos: 3for 0vs Muhammad Naimov: 2for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEMairon Santos METHODDECISION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Mairon Santos: 3for 1vs Muhammad Naimov: 3for 1vs
Brandon Moreno
VS
FIGHT 12
Fly
weight
Tatsuro Taira
analysts picked2/4
OFFICIAL · KO · R2 ·2:24
▸ The Verdict The room leans Tatsuro Taira (2 of 4, def-tiebreak), with Brandon Moreno (2) as the counter. Method: DECISION (2).
Analysts have picked Tatsuro Taira a total of 10 times and against 8 times, while Brandon Moreno has been picked 10 times and against 5 times.
Brandon Moreno 2
MONEYLINE
2 Tatsuro Taira
—0
METHOD
2 DECISION 2✗
OVER2.5 2
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINETatsuro Taira METHODDECISION Brandon Moreno: 3for 1vs Tatsuro Taira: 3for 2vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINETatsuro Taira METHODDECISION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Brandon Moreno: 3for 1vs Tatsuro Taira: 4for 0vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEBrandon Moreno Brandon Moreno: 3for 1vs Tatsuro Taira: 0for 5vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINEBrandon Moreno ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Brandon Moreno: 1for 2vs Tatsuro Taira: 2for 1vs
Alexandre Pantoja
analysts picked3/5
VS
FIGHT 13
Fly
weight
Joshua Van
OFFICIAL · KO · R1 ·0:26
▸ The Verdict The room leans Alexandre Pantoja (3 of 5), with Joshua Van (2) as the counter. Method: SUBMISSION (3).
Analysts have picked Alexandre Pantoja a total of 11 times and against 7 times, while Joshua Van has been picked 19 times and against 12 times.
Alexandre Pantoja 3
MONEYLINE
2 Joshua Van
SUBMISSION 3 3✗
METHOD
0—
—0
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR DEC 1✓
→ DIST 1
GOES DISTANCE
0 —
R2 1 1✗
ROUND
0—
UNDER4.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
1 OVER1.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (5 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEJoshua Van COMPOUND METHODKO OR DEC GOES DISTANCE→ DIST Alexandre Pantoja: 1for 3vs Joshua Van: 8for 0vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEAlexandre Pantoja METHODSUBMISSION ROUNDROUND 2 Alexandre Pantoja: 3for 0vs Joshua Van: 5for 3vs
Tim Welchdefinitive MONEYLINEAlexandre Pantoja METHODSUBMISSION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 1.5 Alexandre Pantoja: 3for 0vs Joshua Van: 1for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEAlexandre Pantoja METHODSUBMISSION Alexandre Pantoja: 3for 1vs Joshua Van: 3for 5vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINEJoshua Van ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 4.5 Alexandre Pantoja: 1for 3vs Joshua Van: 2for 2vs
Chris Duncan
analysts picked2/4
VS
FIGHT 14
Light
weight
Terrance McKinney
analysts picked2/4
OFFICIAL · SUBMISSION · R1 ·2:30
▸ The Verdict Pure split. Chris Duncan and Terrance McKinney both at 2 picks with equal conviction — no consensus on the moneyline. Method: KO OR SUB (2).
Analysts have picked Chris Duncan a total of 6 times and against 9 times, while Terrance McKinney has been picked 13 times and against 4 times.
Chris Duncan 2
MONEYLINE
2 Terrance McKinney
KO OR SUB 2 2✓
COMPOUND METHOD
0—
EARLY 1
GOES DISTANCE
0 —
—0
ROUND
2 R1
UNDER1.5 2
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
1 UNDER2.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEChris Duncan COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 1.5 Chris Duncan: 2for 1vs Terrance McKinney: 0for 2vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEChris Duncan COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Chris Duncan: 2for 2vs Terrance McKinney: 4for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINETerrance McKinney ROUNDROUND 1 Chris Duncan: 0for 4vs Terrance McKinney: 4for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINETerrance McKinney GOES DISTANCEEARLY ROUNDROUND 1 ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 1.5 Chris Duncan: 2for 2vs Terrance McKinney: 5for 0vs