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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett

Per-fight deep-read with every channel's full pick set, market consensus, and per-channel historical loyalty.
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Justin Gaethje
VS
FIGHT 01
Light
weight
Paddy Pimblett
analysts picked6/7
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R5 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Paddy Pimblett (6 of 7), with Justin Gaethje (1) as the counter. Method: SUBMISSION (3).
Analysts have picked Paddy Pimblett a total of 16 times and against 1 times, while Justin Gaethje has been picked 4 times and against 12 times.
Justin Gaethje 1
MONEYLINE
6 Paddy Pimblett
DECISION 1 1✓
METHOD
4 SUBMISSION 1✓ 3✗
0
ROUND
2 R3 2✗
UNDER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (7 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Belal Muhammaddefinitive MONEYLINEJustin Gaethje METHODDECISION Justin Gaethje: 1for 0vs Paddy Pimblett: 0for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEPaddy Pimblett METHODSUBMISSION ROUNDROUND 2 ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Justin Gaethje: 1for 2vs Paddy Pimblett: 3for 0vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEPaddy Pimblett METHODSUBMISSION Justin Gaethje: 0for 3vs Paddy Pimblett: 3for 0vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINEPaddy Pimblett METHODSUBMISSION ROUNDROUND 3 Justin Gaethje: 0for 3vs Paddy Pimblett: 2for 0vs
Mightylean MONEYLINEPaddy Pimblett Justin Gaethje: 1for 1vs Paddy Pimblett: 3for 0vs
Tim Welchlean MONEYLINEPaddy Pimblett Justin Gaethje: 0for 2vs Paddy Pimblett: 2for 0vs
We Want Pickslean MONEYLINEPaddy Pimblett METHODDECISION Justin Gaethje: 1for 1vs Paddy Pimblett: 3for 0vs
Alex Perez
VS
FIGHT 02
Fly
weight
Charles Johnson
analysts picked3/4
OFFICIAL · KO · R1 ·3:16
▸ The Verdict The room leans Charles Johnson (3 of 4), with Alex Perez (1) as the counter. Method: DECISION (2).
Analysts have picked Charles Johnson a total of 15 times and against 7 times, while Alex Perez has been picked 4 times and against 9 times.
Alex Perez 1
MONEYLINE
3 Charles Johnson
0
METHOD
2 DECISION 2✗
0
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR SUB 1✓
OVER3.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
1 OVER2.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINECharles Johnson COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Alex Perez: 1for 2vs Charles Johnson: 1for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINECharles Johnson METHODDECISION Alex Perez: 0for 4vs Charles Johnson: 5for 2vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINECharles Johnson METHODDECISION Alex Perez: 0for 2vs Charles Johnson: 5for 1vs
We Want Pickslean MONEYLINEAlex Perez ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 3.5 Alex Perez: 3for 1vs Charles Johnson: 4for 3vs
Denzel Freeman
VS
FIGHT 03
Heavy
weight
Josh Hokit
analysts picked4/4
OFFICIAL · KO · R1 ·4:59
▸ The Verdict The room leans Josh Hokit (4 of 4). Method: KO OR SUB and KNOCKOUT tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Josh Hokit a total of 8 times and against 5 times, while Denzel Freeman has been picked 2 times and against 4 times.
0
MONEYLINE
4 Josh Hokit
0
METHOD
1 KNOCKOUT 1✓
0
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR SUB 1✓
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEJosh Hokit Denzel Freeman: 0for 1vs Josh Hokit: 1for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEJosh Hokit METHODKNOCKOUT COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Denzel Freeman: 1for 1vs Josh Hokit: 3for 0vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEJosh Hokit Denzel Freeman: 0for 1vs Josh Hokit: 1for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEJosh Hokit Denzel Freeman: 1for 1vs Josh Hokit: 2for 1vs
Andrey Pulyaev
VS
FIGHT 04
Middle
weight
Ateba Gautier
analysts picked4/4
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Ateba Gautier (4 of 4). Method: KNOCKOUT (4).
Analysts have picked Ateba Gautier a total of 15 times and against 0 times, while Andrey Pulyaev has been picked 3 times and against 8 times.
0
MONEYLINE
4 Ateba Gautier
0
METHOD
4 KNOCKOUT 4✗
0
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR SUB 1✗
0
ROUND
2 R1 2✗
UNDER1.5 2
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEAteba Gautier METHODKNOCKOUT Andrey Pulyaev: 0for 2vs Ateba Gautier: 1for 0vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEAteba Gautier METHODKNOCKOUT COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB ROUNDROUND 1 ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 1.5 Andrey Pulyaev: 1for 2vs Ateba Gautier: 5for 0vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEAteba Gautier METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 1 Andrey Pulyaev: 1for 2vs Ateba Gautier: 4for 0vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEAteba Gautier METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 1.5 Andrey Pulyaev: 1for 2vs Ateba Gautier: 5for 0vs
Sean O'Malley
analysts picked6/6
VS
FIGHT 05
Bantam
weight
Song Yadong
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Sean O'Malley (6 of 6). Method: DECISION (4).
Analysts have picked Sean O'Malley a total of 13 times and against 1 times, while Song Yadong has been picked 7 times and against 6 times.
Sean O'Malley 6
MONEYLINE
0
DECISION 5 4✓ 1✗
METHOD
0
OVER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
1
STRIKE LEADER
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (6 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Belal Muhammaddefinitive MONEYLINESean O'Malley Sean O'Malley: 1for 0vs Song Yadong: 0for 1vs
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINESean O'Malley METHODDECISION Sean O'Malley: 2for 0vs Song Yadong: 2for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINESean O'Malley METHODDECISION STRIKE LEADERO'Malley Sean O'Malley: 3for 0vs Song Yadong: 2for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINESean O'Malley METHODDECISION Sean O'Malley: 3for 0vs Song Yadong: 1for 1vs
Tim Welchdefinitive MONEYLINESean O'Malley METHODKNOCKOUT Sean O'Malley: 2for 0vs Song Yadong: 0for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINESean O'Malley METHODDECISION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Sean O'Malley: 2for 1vs Song Yadong: 2for 1vs
Adam Fugitt
VS
FIGHT 06
Welter
weight
Ty Miller
analysts picked4/4
OFFICIAL · KO · R1 ·4:59
▸ The Verdict The room leans Ty Miller (4 of 4). Method: KNOCKOUT (4).
Analysts have picked Ty Miller a total of 4 times and against 0 times, while Adam Fugitt has been picked 0 times and against 11 times.
0
MONEYLINE
4 Ty Miller
0
METHOD
4 KNOCKOUT 4✓
0
ROUND
2 R2 2✗
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINETy Miller METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 2 Adam Fugitt: 0for 2vs Ty Miller: 1for 0vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINETy Miller METHODKNOCKOUT Adam Fugitt: 0for 3vs Ty Miller: 1for 0vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINETy Miller METHODKNOCKOUT Adam Fugitt: 0for 3vs Ty Miller: 1for 0vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINETy Miller METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 2 Adam Fugitt: 0for 3vs Ty Miller: 1for 0vs
Derrick Lewis
VS
FIGHT 07
Heavy
weight
Waldo Cortes Acosta
analysts picked5/6
OFFICIAL · KO · R2 ·3:14
▸ The Verdict The room leans Waldo Cortes Acosta (5 of 6), with Derrick Lewis (1) as the counter. Method: KNOCKOUT (2).
Analysts have picked Waldo Cortes Acosta a total of 15 times and against 16 times, while Derrick Lewis has been picked 7 times and against 8 times.
Derrick Lewis 1
MONEYLINE
5 Waldo Cortes Acosta
0
METHOD
3 KNOCKOUT 2✓ 1✗
EARLY 1
GOES DISTANCE
0
0
ROUND
2 R1 1✓ 1✗
OVER1.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
LEWIS UNDER 8.5 1
CONTROL TIME
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (7 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Belal Muhammaddefinitive MONEYLINEWaldo Cortes Acosta Derrick Lewis: 1for 1vs Waldo Cortes: 1for 0vs
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEWaldo Cortes Acosta METHODDECISION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 1.5 Derrick Lewis: 1for 2vs Waldo Cortes: 2for 4vs
Mightydefinitive MONEYLINEDerrick Lewis Derrick Lewis: 1for 0vs Waldo Cortes: 0for 2vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEWaldo Cortes Acosta METHODKNOCKOUT GOES DISTANCEEARLY ROUNDROUND 2 Derrick Lewis: 1for 2vs Waldo Cortes: 5for 3vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEWaldo Cortes Acosta METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 1 Derrick Lewis: 2for 1vs Waldo Cortes: 1for 4vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEWaldo Cortes Acosta Derrick Lewis: 1for 2vs Waldo Cortes: 5for 3vs
CONTROL TIMELewis U8.5 Ctrl Derrick Lewis: no history Waldo Cortes: 1for 0vs
Natalia Silva
analysts picked4/4
VS
FIGHT 08
Women's
Fly
weight
Rose Namajunas
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Natalia Silva (4 of 4). Method: DECISION (3).
Analysts have picked Natalia Silva a total of 11 times and against 0 times, while Rose Namajunas has been picked 10 times and against 5 times.
Natalia Silva 4
MONEYLINE
0
DECISION 3 3✓
METHOD
0
OVER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
SILVA SILVA_NATALIA O60.5 1
SIG STRIKES
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINENatalia Silva METHODDECISION Natalia Silva: 2for 0vs Rose Namajunas: 1for 2vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINENatalia Silva METHODDECISION SIG STRIKESSilva_Natalia O60.5 Str Natalia Silva: 3for 0vs Rose Namajunas: 3for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINENatalia Silva METHODDECISION Natalia Silva: 3for 0vs Rose Namajunas: 3for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINENatalia Silva ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Natalia Silva: 3for 0vs Rose Namajunas: 3for 1vs
Arnold Allen
VS
FIGHT 09
Feather
weight
Jean Silva
analysts picked4/7
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Jean Silva (4 of 7), with Arnold Allen (3) as the counter. Method: KNOCKOUT (3).
Analysts have picked Jean Silva a total of 17 times and against 10 times, while Arnold Allen has been picked 9 times and against 5 times.
Arnold Allen 3
MONEYLINE
4 Jean Silva
DECISION 1 1✓
METHOD
3 KNOCKOUT 3✗
0
ROUND
1 R2 1✗
OVER1.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
ALLEN OVER 0.5 1
TAKEDOWNS
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (7 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Belal Muhammaddefinitive MONEYLINEArnold Allen Arnold Allen: 1for 1vs Jean Silva: 0for 1vs
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEJean Silva METHODKNOCKOUT Arnold Allen: 0for 1vs Jean Silva: 4for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEJean Silva METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 2 TAKEDOWNSAllen O0.5 TD Arnold Allen: 2for 1vs Jean Silva: 5for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEJean Silva METHODKNOCKOUT Arnold Allen: 2for 1vs Jean Silva: 2for 3vs
Tim Welchdefinitive MONEYLINEArnold Allen METHODDECISION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 1.5 Arnold Allen: 1for 0vs Jean Silva: 0for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEJean Silva Arnold Allen: 2for 1vs Jean Silva: 6for 0vs
Mightylean MONEYLINEArnold Allen Arnold Allen: 1for 0vs Jean Silva: 0for 2vs
Modestas Bukauskas
analysts picked3/4
VS
FIGHT 10
Light-
Heavy
weight
Nikita Krylov
OFFICIAL · KO · R3 ·4:57
▸ The Verdict The room leans Modestas Bukauskas (3 of 4), with Nikita Krylov (1) as the counter. Method: KNOCKOUT (3).
Analysts have picked Modestas Bukauskas a total of 14 times and against 5 times, while Nikita Krylov has been picked 5 times and against 6 times.
Modestas Bukauskas 3
MONEYLINE
1 Nikita Krylov
KNOCKOUT 3 3✓
METHOD
0
KO OR SUB 1 1✓
COMPOUND METHOD
0
R2 2 2✗
ROUND
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEModestas Bukauskas METHODKNOCKOUT COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB ROUNDROUND 1 Modestas Buk: 6for 0vs Nikita Krylov: 0for 3vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEModestas Bukauskas METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 2 Modestas Buk: 3for 2vs Nikita Krylov: 1for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEModestas Bukauskas METHODKNOCKOUT Modestas Buk: 5for 1vs Nikita Krylov: 2for 1vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINENikita Krylov Modestas Buk: 0for 2vs Nikita Krylov: 2for 0vs
Deiveson Figueiredo
VS
FIGHT 11
Bantam
weight
Umar Nurmagomedov
analysts picked7/7
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Umar Nurmagomedov (7 of 7). Method: KO OR SUB and DECISION and SUBMISSION tied (2 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Umar Nurmagomedov a total of 20 times and against 1 times, while Deiveson Figueiredo has been picked 5 times and against 24 times.
0
MONEYLINE
7 Umar Nurmagomedov
0
METHOD
5 SUBMISSION 2✓ 3✗
0
COMPOUND METHOD
2 KO OR SUB 2✗
0
ROUND
1 R2 1✗
OVER2.5 2
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (7 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Belal Muhammaddefinitive MONEYLINEUmar Nurmagomedov COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Deiveson Fig: 0for 1vs Umar Nurmagomedov: 1for 0vs
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEUmar Nurmagomedov METHODSUBMISSION COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Deiveson Fig: 2for 4vs Umar Nurmagomedov: 3for 0vs
Mightydefinitive MONEYLINEUmar Nurmagomedov Deiveson Fig: 0for 2vs Umar Nurmagomedov: 2for 0vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEUmar Nurmagomedov METHODDECISION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Deiveson Fig: 1for 6vs Umar Nurmagomedov: 4for 0vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEUmar Nurmagomedov METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 2 Deiveson Fig: 1for 5vs Umar Nurmagomedov: 4for 0vs
Tim Welchdefinitive MONEYLINEUmar Nurmagomedov METHODDECISION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Deiveson Fig: 0for 1vs Umar Nurmagomedov: 2for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEUmar Nurmagomedov METHODSUBMISSION Deiveson Fig: 1for 5vs Umar Nurmagomedov: 4for 0vs