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UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales

Per-fight deep-read with every channel's full pick set, market consensus, and per-channel historical loyalty.
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Gilbert Burns
VS
FIGHT 01
Welter
weight
Michael Morales
analysts picked3/4
OFFICIAL · KO · R1 ·3:39
▸ The Verdict The room leans Michael Morales (3 of 4), with Gilbert Burns (1) as the counter. Method: KNOCKOUT (2).
Analysts have picked Michael Morales a total of 7 times and against 3 times, while Gilbert Burns has been picked 1 times and against 8 times.
Gilbert Burns 1
MONEYLINE
3 Michael Morales
KNOCKOUT 1 1✓
METHOD
2 KNOCKOUT 1✓ 1✗
—0
COMPOUND METHOD
2 KO OR DEC 1✓
EARLY 1
GOES DISTANCE
0 —
R2 1 1✗
ROUND
0—
UNDER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
—0
STRIKE LEADER
1
—0
SIG STRIKES
1 MORALES OVER 70.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEMichael Morales METHODKNOCKOUT COMPOUND METHODKO OR DEC ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 STRIKE LEADERMorales SIG STRIKESMorales O70.5 Str Gilbert Burns: 0for 3vs Michael Morales: 3for 0vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEMichael Morales METHODDECISION Gilbert Burns: 0for 2vs Michael Morales: 2for 0vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEMichael Morales GOES DISTANCEEARLY Gilbert Burns: 0for 3vs Michael Morales: 2for 1vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINEGilbert Burns METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 2 Gilbert Burns: 1for 0vs Michael Morales: 0for 2vs
Denise Gomes
analysts picked4/4
VS
FIGHT 02
Women's
Straw
weight
Elise Reed
OFFICIAL · KO · R2 ·0:30
▸ The Verdict The room leans Denise Gomes (4 of 4). Method: KO OR SUB and DECISION and SUBMISSION and KNOCKOUT tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Denise Gomes a total of 6 times and against 5 times, while Elise Reed has been picked 2 times and against 5 times.
Denise Gomes 4
MONEYLINE
0—
KNOCKOUT 3 1✓ 2✗
METHOD
0—
KO OR SUB 1 1✓
COMPOUND METHOD
0—
EARLY 1
GOES DISTANCE
1 → DIST
R1 1 1✗
ROUND
0—
OVER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEDenise Gomes METHODSUBMISSION GOES DISTANCEEARLY Denise Gomes: 1for 0vs Elise Reed: 0for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEDenise Gomes METHODDECISION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Denise Gomes: 2for 2vs Elise Reed: 1for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEDenise Gomes METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 1 Denise Gomes: 1for 1vs Elise Reed: 0for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEDenise Gomes COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB GOES DISTANCE→ DIST Denise Gomes: 2for 2vs Elise Reed: 1for 1vs
Dustin Stoltzfus
VS
FIGHT 03
Middle
weight
Nursulton Ruziboev
analysts picked4/4
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Nursulton Ruziboev (4 of 4). Method: KNOCKOUT (3).
Analysts have picked Nursulton Ruziboev a total of 9 times and against 1 times, while Dustin Stoltzfus has been picked 0 times and against 15 times.
—0
MONEYLINE
4 Nursulton Ruziboev
—0
METHOD
3 KNOCKOUT 3✗
—0
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR SUB 1✗
UNDER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINENursulton Ruziboev METHODKNOCKOUT Dustin Stoltzfus: 0for 4vs Nursulton Ru: 1for 0vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINENursulton Ruziboev METHODKNOCKOUT Dustin Stoltzfus: 0for 4vs Nursulton Ru: 2for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINENursulton Ruziboev COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Dustin Stoltzfus: 0for 3vs Nursulton Ru: 3for 0vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINENursulton Ruziboev METHODKNOCKOUT Dustin Stoltzfus: 0for 4vs Nursulton Ru: 3for 0vs
Luana Pinheiro
VS
FIGHT 04
Women's
Straw
weight
Tecia Pennington
analysts picked4/4
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Tecia Pennington (4 of 4). Method: DECISION (2).
Analysts have picked Tecia Pennington a total of 10 times and against 2 times, while Luana Pinheiro has been picked 0 times and against 9 times.
—0
MONEYLINE
4 Tecia Pennington
—0
METHOD
3 DECISION 3✓
→ DIST 1
GOES DISTANCE
0 —
OVER2.5 2
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
—0
SIG STRIKES
1 PENNINGTON OVER 64.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINETecia Pennington METHODUNANIMOUS DEC Luana Pinheiro: 0for 1vs Tecia Pennington: 1for 0vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINETecia Pennington METHODDECISION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Luana Pinheiro: 0for 3vs Tecia Pennington: 3for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINETecia Pennington METHODDECISION SIG STRIKESPennington O64.5 Str Luana Pinheiro: 0for 2vs Tecia Pennington: 3for 0vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINETecia Pennington GOES DISTANCE→ DIST ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Luana Pinheiro: 0for 3vs Tecia Pennington: 3for 1vs
Jared Gordon
analysts picked2/4
VS
FIGHT 05
Light
weight
Thiago Moises
analysts picked2/4
OFFICIAL · KO · R1 ·3:37
▸ The Verdict Pure split. Jared Gordon and Thiago Moises both at 2 picks with equal conviction — no consensus on the moneyline. Method: DECISION (1).
Analysts have picked Jared Gordon a total of 9 times and against 4 times, while Thiago Moises has been picked 3 times and against 9 times.
Jared Gordon 2
MONEYLINE
2 Thiago Moises
—0
METHOD
1 DECISION 1✗
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEJared Gordon Jared Gordon: 3for 0vs Thiago Moises: 0for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEThiago Moises METHODDECISION Jared Gordon: 2for 2vs Thiago Moises: 1for 3vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEJared Gordon Jared Gordon: 2for 0vs Thiago Moises: 1for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEThiago Moises Jared Gordon: 2for 2vs Thiago Moises: 1for 3vs
Carlos Hernandez
VS
FIGHT 06
Fly
weight
HyunSung Park
analysts picked2/4
OFFICIAL · SUBMISSION · R1 ·2:26
▸ The Verdict The room leans HyunSung Park (2 of 4, def-tiebreak), with Carlos Hernandez (2) as the counter. Method: KO OR SUB and KNOCKOUT and DECISION tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked HyunSung Park a total of 4 times and against 7 times, while Carlos Hernandez has been picked 5 times and against 6 times.
Carlos Hernandez 2
MONEYLINE
2 HyunSung Park
DECISION 1 1✗
METHOD
1 KNOCKOUT 1✗
—0
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR SUB
HERNANDEZ UNDER 49.5 1
SIG STRIKES
0—
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEHyunSung Park METHODKNOCKOUT SIG STRIKESHernandez U49.5 Str Carlos Hernandez: 1for 2vs HyunSung Park: 1for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEHyunSung Park Carlos Hernandez: 1for 2vs HyunSung Park: 2for 1vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINECarlos Hernandez Carlos Hernandez: 1for 1vs HyunSung Park: 0for 3vs
MMA EXPERTSlean MONEYLINECarlos Hernandez METHODDECISION Carlos Hernandez: 2for 1vs HyunSung Park: 1for 2vs
Mairon Santos
analysts picked3/4
VS
FIGHT 07
Light
weight
Sodiq Yusuff
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Mairon Santos (3 of 4), with Sodiq Yusuff (1) as the counter. Method: DECISION and KNOCKOUT tied (2 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Mairon Santos a total of 11 times and against 3 times, while Sodiq Yusuff has been picked 1 times and against 6 times.
Mairon Santos 3
MONEYLINE
1 Sodiq Yusuff
KNOCKOUT 3 1✓ 2✗
METHOD
1 DECISION 1✓
KO OR SUB 1
COMPOUND METHOD
0—
UNDER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEMairon Santos METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Mairon Santos: 3for 0vs Sodiq Yusuff: 0for 2vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEMairon Santos METHODDECISION Mairon Santos: 2for 2vs Sodiq Yusuff: 0for 2vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEMairon Santos METHODKNOCKOUT Mairon Santos: 3for 0vs Sodiq Yusuff: 0for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINESodiq Yusuff METHODDECISION Mairon Santos: 3for 1vs Sodiq Yusuff: 1for 0vs
Luana Santos
VS
FIGHT 08
Women's
Bantam
weight
Tainara Lisboa
analysts picked3/4
OFFICIAL · SUBMISSION · R2 ·4:59
▸ The Verdict The room leans Tainara Lisboa (3 of 4), with Luana Santos (1) as the counter. Method: DECISION (2).
Analysts have picked Tainara Lisboa a total of 3 times and against 4 times, while Luana Santos has been picked 6 times and against 6 times.
Luana Santos 1
MONEYLINE
3 Tainara Lisboa
DECISION 1 1✗
METHOD
1 DECISION 1✗
→ DIST 1
GOES DISTANCE
0 —
OVER3.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
—0
SIG STRIKES
1 LISBOA OVER 30.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINETainara Lisboa METHODDECISION Luana Santos: 2for 2vs Tainara Lisboa: 1for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINETainara Lisboa GOES DISTANCE→ DIST ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 3.5 Luana Santos: 2for 2vs Tainara Lisboa: 1for 1vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINETainara Lisboa Luana Santos: 0for 1vs Tainara Lisboa: 1for 1vs
THE MMA GURUlean MONEYLINELuana Santos METHODDECISION SIG STRIKESLisboa O30.5 Str Luana Santos: 2for 1vs Tainara Lisboa: 0for 1vs
Gabe Green
VS
FIGHT 09
Light
weight
Matheus Camilo
analysts picked4/4
OFFICIAL · SUBMISSION · R2 ·3:43
▸ The Verdict The room leans Matheus Camilo (4 of 4). Method: KO OR SUB and SUBMISSION and KNOCKOUT tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Matheus Camilo a total of 7 times and against 0 times, while Gabe Green has been picked 0 times and against 4 times.
—0
MONEYLINE
4 Matheus Camilo
—0
METHOD
2 KNOCKOUT 1✓ 1✗
—0
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR SUB 1✓
—0
ROUND
2 R1 2✗
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEMatheus Camilo ROUNDROUND 1 Gabe Green: 0for 1vs Matheus Camilo: 2for 0vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEMatheus Camilo METHODSUBMISSION COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Gabe Green: 0for 1vs Matheus Camilo: 2for 0vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEMatheus Camilo METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 1 Gabe Green: 0for 1vs Matheus Camilo: 1for 0vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEMatheus Camilo Gabe Green: 0for 1vs Matheus Camilo: 2for 0vs
Connor Matthews
VS
FIGHT 10
Feather
weight
Yadier del Valle
analysts picked4/4
OFFICIAL · SUBMISSION · R1 ·2:54
▸ The Verdict The room leans Yadier del Valle (4 of 4). Method: KNOCKOUT (2).
Analysts have picked Yadier del Valle a total of 7 times and against 3 times, while Connor Matthews has been picked 1 times and against 5 times.
—0
MONEYLINE
4 Yadier del Valle
—0
METHOD
3 KNOCKOUT 1✓ 2✗
—0
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR SUB
UNDER2.5 2
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEYadier del Valle METHODSUBMISSION ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Connor Matthews: 0for 1vs Yadier del Valle: 2for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEYadier del Valle METHODKNOCKOUT Connor Matthews: 0for 2vs Yadier del Valle: 2for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEYadier del Valle METHODKNOCKOUT Connor Matthews: 0for 1vs Yadier del Valle: 1for 0vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEYadier del Valle ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Connor Matthews: 1for 1vs Yadier del Valle: 2for 1vs
Julian Erosa
VS
FIGHT 11
Feather
weight
Melquizael Costa
analysts picked3/4
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Melquizael Costa (3 of 4), with Julian Erosa (1) as the counter. Method: KO OR SUB (3).
Analysts have picked Melquizael Costa a total of 10 times and against 13 times, while Julian Erosa has been picked 3 times and against 10 times.
Julian Erosa 1
MONEYLINE
3 Melquizael Costa
—0
METHOD
2 UNANIMOUS DEC 1✓ 1✗
—0
COMPOUND METHOD
3 KO OR SUB 3✗
EARLY 1
GOES DISTANCE
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEMelquizael Costa METHODKNOCKOUT COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Julian Erosa: 1for 3vs Melquizael Costa: 4for 3vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEMelquizael Costa COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Julian Erosa: 1for 3vs Melquizael Costa: 2for 3vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEMelquizael Costa METHODUNANIMOUS DEC COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Julian Erosa: 0for 4vs Melquizael Costa: 4for 3vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINEJulian Erosa GOES DISTANCEEARLY Julian Erosa: 1for 0vs Melquizael Costa: 0for 4vs