| winner |
gordon |
lean |
3839s |
Zah leans Gordon; volume difference will be good, Moises takedowns may not be there; Gordon looking … |
| rounds_ou |
1.5 |
definitive |
5047s |
Under one and a half — both fighters front-loaded finishers, both gas out badly after seven and a ha… |
| method |
ko_tko |
lean |
1866s |
KO decent look at plus 600/550 — minimum 12-13% probability; anything plus 500 or better is value. |
| goes_distance |
no |
definitive |
1959s |
Zah already played fight doesn't go at plus 120; Gomes has finishing ability and Reed gets finished |
| method |
ko_tko |
lean |
7624s |
Zah took Santos KO at plus 375; Santos has finishing upside, KO is a solid bet |
| winner |
santos |
lean |
7624s |
Zah took Santos KO; Santos landing big, Yusuff injuries are main concern; has Santos as slight favor… |
| method |
ko_tko |
lean |
6709s |
Zah favors KO one most likely outcome; Stoltzfus will clench round one, gas out, get knocked out; pr… |
| method |
ko_tko |
lean |
2597s |
Zah already played Lisboa KO at plus 1100; believes it's at least a 10% outcome even if Lisboa is un… |
| rounds_ou |
2.5 |
lean |
5234s |
Zah prefers under 2.5 at minus 140; Green style relies on coming forward taking risks; could see Gre… |
| winner |
burns |
lean |
8684s |
Zah has half unit on Burns at high 500s; Morales doesn't have massive skill advantage, multiple figh… |
| round_finish_method |
1_sub |
lean |
3242s |
Zah says sub round one at plus 850-1000; Del Valle can just blow through him, take him down, Matthew… |
| goes_distance |
yes |
definitive |
1078s |
Likes fight goes distance at minus 185; earlier in week liked Romero plus 100 on the side but at cur… |
| winner |
costa |
lean |
5715s |
Zah favors Costa but not at this price; round one KO at plus 575 is juicy; doesn't love laying chalk… |
| winner |
edwards |
definitive |
560s |
Edwards at least 75% — Chandler not good at anything really. |
| round_finish_method |
2_ko |
lean |
1959s |
Zah likes KO round 2 or 3 for Gomes; early sub-crises but now it's closer to KO finish |
| rounds_ou |
1.5 |
definitive |
5160s |
Writing it down as official bet — massive number, both can finish early, more loaded on Michel side. |