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UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya

Per-fight deep-read with every channel's full pick set, market consensus, and per-channel historical loyalty.
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Dricus Du Plessis
analysts picked4/6
VS
FIGHT 01
Middle
weight
Israel Adesanya
OFFICIAL · SUBMISSION · R4 ·3:38
▸ The Verdict The room leans Dricus Du Plessis (4 of 6), with Israel Adesanya (2) as the counter. Method: DECISION (2).
Analysts have picked Dricus Du Plessis a total of 11 times and against 4 times, while Israel Adesanya has been picked 6 times and against 7 times.
Dricus Du Plessis 4
MONEYLINE
2 Israel Adesanya
DECISION 3 3✗
METHOD
0—
R2 1 1✗
ROUND
0—
OVER1.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
PLESSIS DU O78.5 4
SIG STRIKES
2 ADESANYA UNDER 95.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (6 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
LucasTracyMMAdefinitive MONEYLINEDricus Du Plessis Dricus Du Plessis: 1for 0vs Israel Adesanya: 0for 2vs
Mightydefinitive MONEYLINEIsrael Adesanya SIG STRIKESAdesanya U95.5 Str Dricus Du Plessis: 2for 1vs Israel Adesanya: 1for 0vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEDricus Du Plessis METHODDECISION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 1.5 Dricus Du Plessis: 2for 1vs Israel Adesanya: 1for 2vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEDricus Du Plessis METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 2 Dricus Du Plessis: 2for 0vs Israel Adesanya: 1for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEDricus Du Plessis METHODDECISION SIG STRIKESAdesanya U95.5 Str SIG STRIKESDu Plessis O78.5 Str SIG STRIKESDu Plessis O78.5 Str SIG STRIKESDu Plessis O79.5 Str SIG STRIKESDu Plessis O10.5 Str Dricus Du Plessis: 2for 1vs Israel Adesanya: 2for 1vs
Tim Welchlean MONEYLINEIsrael Adesanya Dricus Du Plessis: 2for 1vs Israel Adesanya: 1for 0vs
Kai Kara-France
VS
FIGHT 02
Fly
weight
Steve Erceg
analysts picked4/5
OFFICIAL · KO · R1 ·4:04
▸ The Verdict The room leans Steve Erceg (4 of 5), with Kai Kara-France (1) as the counter. Method: DECISION (3).
Analysts have picked Steve Erceg a total of 11 times and against 7 times, while Kai Kara-France has been picked 1 times and against 9 times.
Kai Kara-France 1
MONEYLINE
4 Steve Erceg
DECISION 1 1✗
METHOD
2 DECISION 2✗
—0
SIG STRIKES
1 ERCEG UNDER 60.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (5 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Mightydefinitive MONEYLINESteve Erceg SIG STRIKESErceg U60.5 Str Kai Kara-France: 0for 2vs Steve Erceg: 1for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINESteve Erceg METHODDECISION Kai Kara-France: 0for 2vs Steve Erceg: 4for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINESteve Erceg METHODDECISION Kai Kara-France: 0for 2vs Steve Erceg: 2for 2vs
Tim Welchdefinitive MONEYLINEKai Kara-France METHODDECISION Kai Kara-France: 1for 1vs Steve Erceg: 0for 1vs
We Want Pickslean MONEYLINESteve Erceg Kai Kara-France: 0for 2vs Steve Erceg: 4for 1vs
Casey O'Neill
VS
FIGHT 03
Women's
Fly
weight
Luana Santos
analysts picked2/3
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Luana Santos (2 of 3), with Casey O'Neill (1) as the counter. Method: KO OR SUB and SUB OR DEC and UNANIMOUS DEC and DECISION tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Luana Santos a total of 6 times and against 5 times, while Casey O'Neill has been picked 2 times and against 4 times.
Casey O'Neill 1
MONEYLINE
2 Luana Santos
UNANIMOUS DEC 1 1✓
METHOD
1 DECISION 1✓
—0
COMPOUND METHOD
2 SUB OR DEC 1✓ 1✗
UNDER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINELuana Santos METHODDECISION COMPOUND METHODSUB OR DEC Casey O'Neill: 1for 1vs Luana Santos: 2for 2vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINECasey O'Neill METHODUNANIMOUS DEC Casey O'Neill: 1for 1vs Luana Santos: 2for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINELuana Santos COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Casey O'Neill: 0for 2vs Luana Santos: 2for 2vs
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
analysts picked3/4
VS
FIGHT 04
Heavy
weight
Tai Tuivasa
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·SPLIT
▸ The Verdict The room leans Jairzinho Rozenstruik (3 of 4), with Tai Tuivasa (1) as the counter. Method: KO OR SUB and KNOCKOUT tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Jairzinho Rozenstruik a total of 4 times and against 3 times, while Tai Tuivasa has been picked 5 times and against 6 times.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 3
MONEYLINE
1 Tai Tuivasa
—0
METHOD
1 KNOCKOUT 1✗
KO OR SUB 1 1✗
COMPOUND METHOD
0—
UNDER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
1 UNDER4.75
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINETai Tuivasa METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Jairzinho Ro: 0for 2vs Tai Tuivasa: 2for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEJairzinho Rozenstruik Jairzinho Ro: 1for 1vs Tai Tuivasa: 2for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEJairzinho Rozenstruik COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Jairzinho Ro: 2for 0vs Tai Tuivasa: 0for 3vs
Tim Welchlean MONEYLINEJairzinho Rozenstruik ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 4.75 Jairzinho Ro: 1for 0vs Tai Tuivasa: 0for 1vs
Josh Culibao
analysts picked2/3
VS
FIGHT 05
Feather
weight
Ricardo Ramos
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·SPLIT
▸ The Verdict The room leans Josh Culibao (2 of 3), with Ricardo Ramos (1) as the counter. Method: DECISION (1).
Analysts have picked Josh Culibao a total of 2 times and against 1 times, while Ricardo Ramos has been picked 3 times and against 6 times.
Josh Culibao 2
MONEYLINE
1 Ricardo Ramos
DECISION 1 1✓
METHOD
0—
→ DIST 1
GOES DISTANCE
0 —
OVER3.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
1 OVER1.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEJosh Culibao METHODDECISION GOES DISTANCE→ DIST ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 1.5 Josh Culibao: 1for 0vs Ricardo Ramos: 1for 2vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEJosh Culibao Josh Culibao: 1for 0vs Ricardo Ramos: 0for 3vs
We Want Pickslean MONEYLINERicardo Ramos ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 3.5 Josh Culibao: 0for 1vs Ricardo Ramos: 2for 1vs
Carlos Prates
analysts picked3/3
VS
FIGHT 06
Welter
weight
Li Jingliang
OFFICIAL · KO · R2 ·4:02
▸ The Verdict The room leans Carlos Prates (3 of 3). Method: KNOCKOUT and DECISION tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Carlos Prates a total of 14 times and against 8 times, while Li Jingliang has been picked 0 times and against 3 times.
Carlos Prates 3
MONEYLINE
0—
DECISION 2 1✓ 1✗
METHOD
0—
OVER1.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
—0
SIG STRIKES
1 JINGLIANG OVER 9.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINECarlos Prates METHODDECISION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 1.5 Carlos Prates: 4for 3vs Li Jingliang: 0for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINECarlos Prates Carlos Prates: 3for 1vs Li Jingliang: 0for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINECarlos Prates METHODKNOCKOUT SIG STRIKESJingliang O9.5 Str Carlos Prates: 5for 2vs Li Jingliang: 0for 1vs
Herbert Burns
VS
FIGHT 07
Feather
weight
Jack Jenkins
analysts picked3/3
OFFICIAL · KO · R3 ·0:48
▸ The Verdict The room leans Jack Jenkins (3 of 3). Method: KNOCKOUT (2).
Analysts have picked Jack Jenkins a total of 5 times and against 2 times, while Herbert Burns has been picked 0 times and against 3 times.
—0
MONEYLINE
3 Jack Jenkins
—0
METHOD
3 KNOCKOUT 2✓ 1✗
—0
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR SUB 1✓
—0
ROUND
2 R2 2✗
UNDER1.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEJack Jenkins METHODKNOCKOUT COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Herbert Burns: 0for 1vs Jack Jenkins: 2for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEJack Jenkins METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 2 Herbert Burns: 0for 1vs Jack Jenkins: 1for 0vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEJack Jenkins METHODSUBMISSION ROUNDROUND 1 ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 1.5 Herbert Burns: 0for 1vs Jack Jenkins: 2for 1vs
Dan Hooker
VS
FIGHT 08
Light
weight
Mateusz Gamrot
analysts picked4/5
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·SPLIT
▸ The Verdict The room leans Mateusz Gamrot (4 of 5), with Dan Hooker (1) as the counter. Method: DECISION (3).
Analysts have picked Mateusz Gamrot a total of 9 times and against 6 times, while Dan Hooker has been picked 1 times and against 11 times.
Dan Hooker 1
MONEYLINE
4 Mateusz Gamrot
—0
METHOD
3 DECISION 3✓
OVER3.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
HOOKER UNDER 45.5 3
SIG STRIKES
1 GAMROT OVER 49.5
—0
TAKEDOWNS
1 GAMROT UNDER 4.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (5 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEMateusz Gamrot METHODDECISION Dan Hooker: 0for 3vs Mateusz Gamrot: 3for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEMateusz Gamrot METHODDECISION Dan Hooker: 0for 2vs Mateusz Gamrot: 2for 2vs
Tim Welchdefinitive MONEYLINEMateusz Gamrot METHODDECISION SIG STRIKESGamrot O49.5 Str Dan Hooker: 0for 2vs Mateusz Gamrot: 1for 0vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEMateusz Gamrot ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 3.5 SIG STRIKESHooker U45.5 Str SIG STRIKESHooker U45.5 Str SIG STRIKESHooker U45.5 Str Dan Hooker: 0for 3vs Mateusz Gamrot: 2for 2vs
Mightylean MONEYLINEDan Hooker TAKEDOWNSGamrot U4.5 TD Dan Hooker: 1for 1vs Mateusz Gamrot: 0for 1vs
Junior Tafa
VS
FIGHT 09
Heavy
weight
Valter Walker
analysts picked2/3
OFFICIAL · SUBMISSION · R1 ·4:56
▸ The Verdict The room leans Valter Walker (2 of 3), with Junior Tafa (1) as the counter. Method: KNOCKOUT (2).
Analysts have picked Valter Walker a total of 8 times and against 4 times, while Junior Tafa has been picked 6 times and against 9 times.
Junior Tafa 1
MONEYLINE
2 Valter Walker
KNOCKOUT 1 1✗
METHOD
1 KNOCKOUT 1✗
OVER1.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEValter Walker METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 1.5 Junior Tafa: 3for 2vs Valter Walker: 4for 0vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEJunior Tafa METHODKNOCKOUT Junior Tafa: 3for 1vs Valter Walker: 1for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEValter Walker Junior Tafa: 0for 5vs Valter Walker: 3for 1vs
Jesus Aguilar
VS
FIGHT 10
Fly
weight
Stewart Nicoll
analysts picked3/3
OFFICIAL · SUBMISSION · R1 ·2:39
▸ The Verdict The room leans Stewart Nicoll (3 of 3). Method: KO OR SUB and SUB OR DEC and DECISION tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Stewart Nicoll a total of 5 times and against 1 times, while Jesus Aguilar has been picked 2 times and against 10 times.
—0
MONEYLINE
3 Stewart Nicoll
—0
METHOD
1 DECISION 1✗
—0
COMPOUND METHOD
2 SUB OR DEC 2✓
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEStewart Nicoll METHODDECISION COMPOUND METHODSUB OR DEC Jesus Aguilar: 1for 4vs Stewart Nicoll: 1for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEStewart Nicoll Jesus Aguilar: 0for 2vs Stewart Nicoll: 2for 0vs
We Want Pickslean MONEYLINEStewart Nicoll COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Jesus Aguilar: 1for 4vs Stewart Nicoll: 2for 0vs
Ricky Glenn
VS
FIGHT 11
Welter
weight
Song Kenan
analysts picked3/3
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Song Kenan (3 of 3). Method: KO OR SUB and KNOCKOUT tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Song Kenan a total of 4 times and against 2 times, while Ricky Glenn has been picked 0 times and against 3 times.
—0
MONEYLINE
3 Song Kenan
—0
METHOD
1 KNOCKOUT 1✗
—0
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR SUB 1✗
—0
CONTROL TIME
2 KENAN UNDER 10.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINESong Kenan METHODKNOCKOUT Ricky Glenn: 0for 1vs Song Kenan: 2for 0vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINESong Kenan Ricky Glenn: 0for 1vs Song Kenan: 1for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINESong Kenan COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB CONTROL TIMEKenan U10.5 Ctrl CONTROL TIMEKenan U10.5 Ctrl Ricky Glenn: 0for 1vs Song Kenan: 1for 1vs
Alex Reyes
VS
FIGHT 12
Light
weight
Tom Nolan
analysts picked3/3
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Tom Nolan (3 of 3). Method: KNOCKOUT (1).
Analysts have picked Tom Nolan a total of 9 times and against 4 times, while Alex Reyes has been picked 0 times and against 3 times.
—0
MONEYLINE
3 Tom Nolan
—0
METHOD
1 KNOCKOUT 1✗
—0
ROUND
1 R1 1✗
UNDER1.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINETom Nolan METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 1 ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 1.5 Alex Reyes: 0for 1vs Tom Nolan: 4for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINETom Nolan Alex Reyes: 0for 1vs Tom Nolan: 2for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINETom Nolan Alex Reyes: 0for 1vs Tom Nolan: 3for 2vs