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UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2

Per-fight deep-read with every channel's full pick set, market consensus, and per-channel historical loyalty.
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Alex Pereira
analysts picked5/7
VS
FIGHT 01
Light-
Heavy
weight
Jiri Prochazka
OFFICIAL · KO · R2 ·0:13
▸ The Verdict The room leans Alex Pereira (5 of 7), with Jiri Prochazka (2) as the counter. Method: KNOCKOUT (4).
Analysts have picked Alex Pereira a total of 14 times and against 12 times, while Jiri Prochazka has been picked 11 times and against 15 times.
Alex Pereira 5
MONEYLINE
2 Jiri Prochazka
KNOCKOUT 3 3✓
METHOD
1 KNOCKOUT 1✓
KO OR SUB 1 1✓
COMPOUND METHOD
0
R2 1 1✓
ROUND
1 R3 1✗
UNDER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
0
TAKEDOWN LEADER
1
PEREIRA OVER 0.5 1
SIG STRIKES
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (7 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Mightydefinitive MONEYLINEAlex Pereira Alex Pereira: 3for 1vs Jiri Prochazka: 0for 3vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEAlex Pereira METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 2 TAKEDOWN LEADERProchazka Alex Pereira: 3for 2vs Jiri Prochazka: 2for 3vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEJiri Prochazka METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 3 Alex Pereira: 3for 1vs Jiri Prochazka: 2for 2vs
TheWeasledefinitive MONEYLINEAlex Pereira Alex Pereira: 1for 0vs Jiri Prochazka: 1for 1vs
Tim Welchdefinitive MONEYLINEAlex Pereira METHODKNOCKOUT Alex Pereira: 2for 2vs Jiri Prochazka: 1for 3vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEAlex Pereira METHODKNOCKOUT COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB SIG STRIKESPereira O0.5 Str Alex Pereira: 2for 2vs Jiri Prochazka: 3for 1vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINEJiri Prochazka ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Alex Pereira: 0for 4vs Jiri Prochazka: 2for 2vs
Ian Machado Garry
analysts picked3/6
VS
FIGHT 02
Welter
weight
Michael Page
analysts picked3/6
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict Pure split. Ian Machado Garry and Michael Page both at 3 picks with equal conviction — no consensus on the moneyline. Method: DECISION (2).
Analysts have picked Ian Machado Garry a total of 7 times and against 10 times, while Michael Page has been picked 12 times and against 8 times.
Ian Machado Garry 3
MONEYLINE
3 Michael Page
DECISION 2 2✓
METHOD
1 KNOCKOUT 1✗
UNDER1.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
1 OVER2.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (6 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEIan Machado Garry METHODDECISION Ian Machado Garry: 3for 1vs Michael Page: 1for 3vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEMichael Page METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 1.5 Ian Machado Garry: 0for 2vs Michael Page: 3for 1vs
Tim Welchdefinitive MONEYLINEIan Machado Garry METHODDECISION Ian Machado Garry: 1for 1vs Michael Page: 0for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEMichael Page ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Ian Machado Garry: 1for 3vs Michael Page: 4for 0vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINEIan Machado Garry Ian Machado Garry: 2for 1vs Michael Page: 1for 2vs
Mightylean MONEYLINEMichael Page Ian Machado Garry: 0for 2vs Michael Page: 2for 0vs
Ricky Simon
VS
FIGHT 03
Bantam
weight
Vinicius Oliveira
analysts picked2/4
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Vinicius Oliveira (2 of 4, def-tiebreak), with Ricky Simon (2) as the counter. Method: KO OR SUB and SUB OR DEC and SUBMISSION and KNOCKOUT tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Vinicius Oliveira a total of 9 times and against 5 times, while Ricky Simon has been picked 12 times and against 6 times.
Ricky Simon 2
MONEYLINE
2 Vinicius Oliveira
SUBMISSION 1 1✗
METHOD
1 KNOCKOUT 1✗
SUB OR DEC 1 1✓
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR SUB 1✗
UNDER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
1
TAKEDOWN LEADER
0
SIMON OVER 3.5 3
TAKEDOWNS
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (5 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEVinicius Oliveira METHODKNOCKOUT Ricky Simon: 2for 3vs Vinicius Oliveira: 4for 0vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINERicky Simon METHODSUBMISSION Ricky Simon: 3for 1vs Vinicius Oliveira: 1for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEVinicius Oliveira COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB TAKEDOWN LEADERSimon TAKEDOWNSSimon O3.5 TD TAKEDOWNSSimon O3.5 TD Ricky Simon: 3for 2vs Vinicius Oliveira: 2for 2vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINERicky Simon COMPOUND METHODSUB OR DEC ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Ricky Simon: 2for 0vs Vinicius Oliveira: 2for 1vs
TAKEDOWNSSimon O2.5 TD no prior history with either fighter
Joe Pyfer
analysts picked3/4
VS
FIGHT 04
Middle
weight
Marc-Andre Barriault
OFFICIAL · KO · R1 ·1:25
▸ The Verdict The room leans Joe Pyfer (3 of 4), with Marc-Andre Barriault (1) as the counter. Method: KNOCKOUT (2).
Analysts have picked Joe Pyfer a total of 12 times and against 6 times, while Marc-Andre Barriault has been picked 10 times and against 8 times.
Joe Pyfer 3
MONEYLINE
1 Marc-Andre Barriault
KNOCKOUT 2 2✓
METHOD
0
KO OR DEC 1 1✓
COMPOUND METHOD
0
R1 1 1✓
ROUND
0
UNDER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEJoe Pyfer METHODKNOCKOUT COMPOUND METHODKO OR DEC ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Joe Pyfer: 3for 1vs Marc-Andre B: 3for 3vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEJoe Pyfer METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 1 Joe Pyfer: 2for 1vs Marc-Andre B: 2for 2vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINEMarc-Andre Barriault Joe Pyfer: 1for 3vs Marc-Andre B: 3for 0vs
We Want Pickslean MONEYLINEJoe Pyfer Joe Pyfer: 3for 1vs Marc-Andre B: 2for 3vs
Gillian Robertson
VS
FIGHT 05
Women's
Straw
weight
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
analysts picked2/3
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Michelle Waterson-Gomez (2 of 3), with Gillian Robertson (1) as the counter. Method: DECISION (1).
Analysts have picked Michelle Waterson-Gomez a total of 2 times and against 1 times, while Gillian Robertson has been picked 9 times and against 3 times.
Gillian Robertson 1
MONEYLINE
2 Michelle Waterson-Gomez
0
METHOD
1 DECISION 1✓
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEMichelle Waterson-Gomez METHODDECISION Gillian Robertson: 3for 1vs Michelle Wat: 1for 0vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEMichelle Waterson-Gomez Gillian Robertson: 1for 2vs Michelle Wat: 1for 0vs
We Want Pickslean MONEYLINEGillian Robertson Gillian Robertson: 4for 0vs Michelle Wat: 0for 1vs
Anthony Smith
analysts picked2/3
VS
FIGHT 06
Light-
Heavy
weight
Roman Dolidze
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Anthony Smith (2 of 3), with Roman Dolidze (1) as the counter. Method: KNOCKOUT (2).
Analysts have picked Anthony Smith a total of 4 times and against 8 times, while Roman Dolidze has been picked 7 times and against 11 times.
Anthony Smith 2
MONEYLINE
1 Roman Dolidze
KNOCKOUT 1 1✗
METHOD
1 KNOCKOUT 1✗
0
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR SUB
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEAnthony Smith Anthony Smith: 1for 1vs Roman Dolidze: 3for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINERoman Dolidze METHODKNOCKOUT Anthony Smith: 1for 3vs Roman Dolidze: 3for 2vs
MMA EXPERTSlean MONEYLINEAnthony Smith METHODKNOCKOUT Anthony Smith: 1for 3vs Roman Dolidze: 0for 5vs
Andrei Arlovski
VS
FIGHT 07
Heavy
weight
Martin Buday
analysts picked2/4
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·SPLIT
▸ The Verdict The room leans Martin Buday (2 of 4, def-tiebreak), with Andrei Arlovski (2) as the counter. Method: DECISION (2).
Analysts have picked Martin Buday a total of 2 times and against 9 times, while Andrei Arlovski has been picked 2 times and against 2 times.
Andrei Arlovski 2
MONEYLINE
2 Martin Buday
DECISION 2 2✓
METHOD
1 KNOCKOUT 1✗
OVER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
1 UNDER2.5
0
SIG STRIKES
2 BUDAY UNDER 66.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEAndrei Arlovski METHODDECISION Andrei Arlovski: 1for 0vs Martin Buday: 0for 2vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEMartin Buday Andrei Arlovski: 0for 1vs Martin Buday: 1for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEMartin Buday METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 SIG STRIKESBuday U66.5 Str SIG STRIKESBuday U66.5 Str Andrei Arlovski: 0for 1vs Martin Buday: 1for 2vs
MMA EXPERTSlean MONEYLINEAndrei Arlovski METHODDECISION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Andrei Arlovski: 1for 0vs Martin Buday: 0for 3vs
Macy Chiasson
analysts picked2/4
VS
FIGHT 08
Women's
Bantam
weight
Mayra Bueno Silva
OFFICIAL · KO · R2 ·1:58
▸ The Verdict The room leans Macy Chiasson (2 of 4, def-tiebreak), with Mayra Bueno Silva (2) as the counter. Method: SUBMISSION (2).
Analysts have picked Macy Chiasson a total of 9 times and against 5 times, while Mayra Bueno Silva has been picked 4 times and against 7 times.
Macy Chiasson 2
MONEYLINE
2 Mayra Bueno Silva
0
METHOD
2 SUBMISSION 2✗
OVER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
1
TAKEDOWN LEADER
0
0
SIG STRIKES
1 SILVA OVER 45.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEMayra Bueno Silva METHODSUBMISSION Macy Chiasson: 3for 1vs Mayra Bueno Silva: 2for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEMacy Chiasson Macy Chiasson: 2for 1vs Mayra Bueno Silva: 1for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEMacy Chiasson ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 TAKEDOWN LEADERChiasson SIG STRIKESSilva O45.5 Str Macy Chiasson: 2for 2vs Mayra Bueno Silva: 0for 4vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINEMayra Bueno Silva METHODSUBMISSION Macy Chiasson: 2for 1vs Mayra Bueno Silva: 1for 1vs
Payton Talbott
analysts picked4/4
VS
FIGHT 09
Bantam
weight
Yanis Ghemmouri
OFFICIAL · KO · R1 ·0:19
▸ The Verdict The room leans Payton Talbott (4 of 4). Method: KNOCKOUT (2).
Analysts have picked Payton Talbott a total of 12 times and against 4 times, while Yanis Ghemmouri has been picked 0 times and against 4 times.
Payton Talbott 4
MONEYLINE
0
KNOCKOUT 2 2✓
METHOD
0
R1 3 1✓ 2✗
ROUND
0
UNDER1.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
1 OVER1.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINEPayton Talbott ROUNDROUND 3 Payton Talbott: 3for 0vs Yanis Ghemmouri: 0for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEPayton Talbott METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 1 ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 1.5 Payton Talbott: 3for 1vs Yanis Ghemmouri: 0for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEPayton Talbott METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 2 Payton Talbott: 2for 2vs Yanis Ghemmouri: 0for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEPayton Talbott ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 1.5 Payton Talbott: 3for 1vs Yanis Ghemmouri: 0for 1vs
Dan Ige
VS
FIGHT 10
Catch
Weight
Diego Lopes
analysts picked5/5
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Diego Lopes (5 of 5). Method: KO OR SUB (2).
Analysts have picked Diego Lopes a total of 20 times and against 7 times, while Dan Ige has been picked 7 times and against 15 times.
0
MONEYLINE
5 Diego Lopes
0
METHOD
2 DECISION 1✓ 1✗
0
COMPOUND METHOD
2 KO OR SUB 2✗
0
ROUND
1 R1 1✗
0
SIG STRIKES
2 LOPES OVER 40.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (5 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEDiego Lopes COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Dan Ige: 1for 4vs Diego Lopes: 5for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEDiego Lopes METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 1 Dan Ige: 1for 3vs Diego Lopes: 5for 0vs
Tim Welchdefinitive MONEYLINEDiego Lopes SIG STRIKESLopes O40.5 Str Dan Ige: 0for 1vs Diego Lopes: 2for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEDiego Lopes COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB SIG STRIKESLopes O40.5 Str Dan Ige: 1for 4vs Diego Lopes: 3for 2vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINEDiego Lopes METHODDECISION Dan Ige: 3for 2vs Diego Lopes: 4for 1vs
Charles Jourdain
analysts picked3/4
VS
FIGHT 11
Feather
weight
Jean Silva
OFFICIAL · KO · R2 ·1:22
▸ The Verdict The room leans Charles Jourdain (3 of 4), with Jean Silva (1) as the counter. Method: KO OR SUB and KNOCKOUT and DECISION tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Charles Jourdain a total of 9 times and against 3 times, while Jean Silva has been picked 17 times and against 9 times.
Charles Jourdain 3
MONEYLINE
1 Jean Silva
DECISION 2 1✓ 1✗
METHOD
0
0
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR SUB 1✓
→ DIST 1
GOES DISTANCE
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINECharles Jourdain METHODDECISION Charles Jourdain: 4for 0vs Jean Silva: 5for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINECharles Jourdain METHODKNOCKOUT Charles Jourdain: 2for 0vs Jean Silva: 2for 3vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEJean Silva COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Charles Jourdain: 1for 3vs Jean Silva: 6for 0vs
Lucrative Jameslean MONEYLINECharles Jourdain GOES DISTANCE→ DIST Charles Jourdain: 2for 0vs Jean Silva: 4for 1vs
Carlos Hernandez
VS
FIGHT 12
Fly
weight
Rei Tsuruya
analysts picked3/4
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Rei Tsuruya (3 of 4), with Carlos Hernandez (1) as the counter. Method: DECISION (2).
Analysts have picked Rei Tsuruya a total of 8 times and against 3 times, while Carlos Hernandez has been picked 5 times and against 6 times.
Carlos Hernandez 1
MONEYLINE
3 Rei Tsuruya
DECISION 1 1✓
METHOD
2 DECISION 1✓ 1✗
0
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR SUB 1✗
0
ROUND
1 R1 1✗
UNDER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
0
SIG STRIKES
1 TSURUYA OVER 100
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
Lucrative Jamesdefinitive MONEYLINERei Tsuruya METHODDECISION Carlos Hernandez: 1for 1vs Rei Tsuruya: 3for 0vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINERei Tsuruya METHODSUBMISSION ROUNDROUND 1 ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Carlos Hernandez: 2for 1vs Rei Tsuruya: 2for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINECarlos Hernandez METHODDECISION Carlos Hernandez: 1for 2vs Rei Tsuruya: 0for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINERei Tsuruya COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB SIG STRIKESTsuruya O100 Str Carlos Hernandez: 1for 2vs Rei Tsuruya: 3for 0vs
Andre Fili
analysts picked3/3
VS
FIGHT 13
Feather
weight
Cub Swanson
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·SPLIT
▸ The Verdict The room leans Andre Fili (3 of 3). Method: KNOCKOUT and DECISION tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Andre Fili a total of 8 times and against 6 times, while Cub Swanson has been picked 8 times and against 4 times.
Andre Fili 3
MONEYLINE
0
DECISION 2 1✓ 1✗
METHOD
0
UNDER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0
FILI OVER 55.5 1
SIG STRIKES
0
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (5 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEAndre Fili METHODDECISION Andre Fili: 3for 1vs Cub Swanson: 2for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEAndre Fili METHODKNOCKOUT Andre Fili: 3for 1vs Cub Swanson: 1for 1vs
We Want Pickslean MONEYLINEAndre Fili Andre Fili: 2for 2vs Cub Swanson: 1for 2vs
ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Andre Fili: 0for 2vs Cub Swanson: 2for 0vs
SIG STRIKESFili O55.5 Str Andre Fili: no history Cub Swanson: 1for 0vs