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UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier

Per-fight deep-read with every channel's full pick set, market consensus, and per-channel historical loyalty.
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Dustin Poirier
VS
FIGHT 01
Light
weight
Islam Makhachev
analysts picked6/6
OFFICIAL · SUBMISSION · R5 ·2:42
▸ The Verdict The room leans Islam Makhachev (6 of 6). Method: SUBMISSION (6).
Analysts have picked Islam Makhachev a total of 13 times and against 1 times, while Dustin Poirier has been picked 0 times and against 10 times.
—0
MONEYLINE
6 Islam Makhachev
—0
METHOD
6 SUBMISSION 6✓
—0
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR SUB 1✓
—0
ROUND
4 R1 4✗
UNDER3.5 2
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
1 OVER10.5
POIRIER OVER 0.5 2
SIG STRIKES
1 MAKHACHEV OVER 35.5
—0
TAKEDOWNS
1 MAKHACHEV OVER 2.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (6 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
LucasTracyMMAdefinitive MONEYLINEIslam Makhachev METHODSUBMISSION ROUNDROUND 1 Dustin Poirier: 0for 1vs Islam Makhachev: 1for 0vs
Mightydefinitive MONEYLINEIslam Makhachev METHODSUBMISSION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 10.5 SIG STRIKESMakhachev O35.5 Str SIG STRIKESPoirier O25.5 Str Dustin Poirier: 0for 2vs Islam Makhachev: 2for 0vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEIslam Makhachev METHODSUBMISSION ROUNDROUND 3 ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 3.5 Dustin Poirier: 0for 2vs Islam Makhachev: 2for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEIslam Makhachev METHODSUBMISSION ROUNDROUND 1 Dustin Poirier: 0for 2vs Islam Makhachev: 2for 0vs
Tim Welchdefinitive MONEYLINEIslam Makhachev METHODSUBMISSION ROUNDROUND 2 SIG STRIKESStrickland O119.5 Str TAKEDOWNSMakhachev O2.5 TD Dustin Poirier: 0for 1vs Islam Makhachev: 3for 0vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEIslam Makhachev METHODSUBMISSION COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 3.5 SIG STRIKESPoirier O0.5 Str Dustin Poirier: 0for 2vs Islam Makhachev: 3for 0vs
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
VS
FIGHT 02
Welter
weight
Randy Brown
analysts picked3/3
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Randy Brown (3 of 3). Method: KNOCKOUT and DECISION tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Randy Brown a total of 9 times and against 6 times, while Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos has been picked 7 times and against 4 times.
—0
MONEYLINE
3 Randy Brown
—0
METHOD
2 DECISION 1✓ 1✗
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINERandy Brown METHODDECISION Elizeu Zales: 3for 1vs Randy Brown: 2for 3vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINERandy Brown Elizeu Zales: 3for 1vs Randy Brown: 4for 1vs
THE MMA GURUlean MONEYLINERandy Brown METHODKNOCKOUT Elizeu Zales: 1for 2vs Randy Brown: 2for 1vs
Kevin Holland
analysts picked2/4
VS
FIGHT 03
Middle
weight
Michal Oleksiejczuk
OFFICIAL · SUBMISSION · R1 ·1:34
▸ The Verdict The room leans Kevin Holland (2 of 4, def-tiebreak), with Michal Oleksiejczuk (2) as the counter. Method: KNOCKOUT (2).
Analysts have picked Kevin Holland a total of 15 times and against 12 times, while Michal Oleksiejczuk has been picked 9 times and against 6 times.
Kevin Holland 2
MONEYLINE
2 Michal Oleksiejczuk
KNOCKOUT 2 2✗
METHOD
1 SUBMISSION 1✓
KO OR SUB 1 1✓
COMPOUND METHOD
0—
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (4 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEMichal Oleksiejczuk Kevin Holland: 2for 5vs Michal Oleks: 3for 1vs
Tim Welchdefinitive MONEYLINEKevin Holland METHODKNOCKOUT Kevin Holland: 1for 0vs Michal Oleks: 0for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEKevin Holland METHODKNOCKOUT COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Kevin Holland: 3for 5vs Michal Oleks: 3for 2vs
MMA EXPERTSlean MONEYLINEMichal Oleksiejczuk METHODSUBMISSION Kevin Holland: 7for 1vs Michal Oleks: 3for 2vs
Cesar Almeida
VS
FIGHT 04
Middle
weight
Roman Kopylov
analysts picked2/3
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·SPLIT
▸ The Verdict The room leans Roman Kopylov (2 of 3), with Cesar Almeida (1) as the counter. Method: KO OR SUB (3).
Analysts have picked Roman Kopylov a total of 8 times and against 7 times, while Cesar Almeida has been picked 7 times and against 4 times.
Cesar Almeida 1
MONEYLINE
2 Roman Kopylov
DECISION 1 1✓
METHOD
2 DECISION 1✓ 1✗
KO OR SUB 1 1✗
COMPOUND METHOD
2 KO OR SUB 2✗
ALMEIDA OVER 4.5 1
SIG STRIKES
0—
ALMEIDA OVER 3.5 2
TAKEDOWNS
0—
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINERoman Kopylov METHODDECISION COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Cesar Almeida: 2for 1vs Roman Kopylov: 3for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINERoman Kopylov METHODKNOCKOUT COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB SIG STRIKESAlmeida O4.5 Str TAKEDOWNSAlmeida O3.5 TD TAKEDOWNSAlmeida O2.5 TD Cesar Almeida: 2for 2vs Roman Kopylov: 3for 2vs
MMA EXPERTSlean MONEYLINECesar Almeida METHODDECISION COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Cesar Almeida: 3for 1vs Roman Kopylov: 1for 4vs
Andre Lima
analysts picked2/3
VS
FIGHT 05
Fly
weight
Mitch Raposo
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·SPLIT
▸ The Verdict The room leans Andre Lima (2 of 3), with Mitch Raposo (1) as the counter. Method: DECISION (1).
Analysts have picked Andre Lima a total of 6 times and against 3 times, while Mitch Raposo has been picked 2 times and against 7 times.
Andre Lima 2
MONEYLINE
1 Mitch Raposo
DECISION 1 1✓
METHOD
0—
R3 1 1✗
ROUND
0—
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEAndre Lima Andre Lima: 2for 1vs Mitch Raposo: 0for 3vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEMitch Raposo Andre Lima: 1for 2vs Mitch Raposo: 2for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSlean MONEYLINEAndre Lima METHODDECISION ROUNDROUND 3 Andre Lima: 3for 0vs Mitch Raposo: 0for 3vs
Jake Matthews
VS
FIGHT 06
Welter
weight
Phil Rowe
analysts picked3/3
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Phil Rowe (3 of 3). Method: KO OR SUB and DECISION tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Phil Rowe a total of 5 times and against 5 times, while Jake Matthews has been picked 7 times and against 6 times.
—0
MONEYLINE
3 Phil Rowe
—0
METHOD
1 DECISION 1✓
—0
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR SUB 1✗
→ DIST 1
GOES DISTANCE
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEPhil Rowe METHODDECISION GOES DISTANCE→ DIST Jake Matthews: 3for 2vs Phil Rowe: 2for 2vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEPhil Rowe Jake Matthews: 0for 2vs Phil Rowe: 2for 0vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEPhil Rowe COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Jake Matthews: 4for 1vs Phil Rowe: 1for 3vs
Alexandr Romanov
VS
FIGHT 07
Heavy
weight
Jailton Almeida
OFFICIAL · SUBMISSION · R1 ·2:27
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (0 channels)
Paulo Costa
VS
FIGHT 08
Middle
weight
Sean Strickland
analysts picked4/6
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R5 ·5:00 ·SPLIT
▸ The Verdict The room leans Sean Strickland (4 of 6), with Paulo Costa (2) as the counter. Method: DECISION and KNOCKOUT tied (2 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Sean Strickland a total of 4 times and against 13 times, while Paulo Costa has been picked 4 times and against 12 times.
Paulo Costa 2
MONEYLINE
4 Sean Strickland
KNOCKOUT 1 1✗
METHOD
3 DECISION 2✓ 1✗
—0
COMPOUND METHOD
1 KO OR SUB 1✗
R2 1 1✗
ROUND
1 R4 1✗
OVER1.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
—0
SIG STRIKES
1 STRICKLAND UNDER 119.5
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (6 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
LucasTracyMMAdefinitive MONEYLINESean Strickland Paulo Costa: 0for 2vs Sean Strickland: 1for 0vs
Mightydefinitive MONEYLINEPaulo Costa SIG STRIKESStrickland U119.5 Str Paulo Costa: 1for 2vs Sean Strickland: 0for 3vs
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEPaulo Costa METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 2 Paulo Costa: 1for 2vs Sean Strickland: 0for 4vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINESean Strickland METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 4 Paulo Costa: 1for 2vs Sean Strickland: 1for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINESean Strickland METHODDECISION COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 1.5 Paulo Costa: 0for 3vs Sean Strickland: 1for 3vs
Tim Welchlean MONEYLINESean Strickland METHODDECISION Paulo Costa: 1for 1vs Sean Strickland: 1for 2vs
Grant Dawson
analysts picked3/3
VS
FIGHT 09
Light
weight
Joe Solecki
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Grant Dawson (3 of 3). Method: SUBMISSION and DECISION tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Grant Dawson a total of 8 times and against 6 times, while Joe Solecki has been picked 0 times and against 6 times.
Grant Dawson 3
MONEYLINE
0—
DECISION 2 1✓ 1✗
METHOD
0—
→ DIST 1
GOES DISTANCE
0 —
OVER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
DAWSON UNDER 33.5 1
SIG STRIKES
0—
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEGrant Dawson METHODSUBMISSION Grant Dawson: 2for 3vs Joe Solecki: 0for 2vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEGrant Dawson METHODDECISION Grant Dawson: 2for 2vs Joe Solecki: 0for 2vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEGrant Dawson GOES DISTANCE→ DIST ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 SIG STRIKESDawson U33.5 Str Grant Dawson: 4for 1vs Joe Solecki: 0for 2vs
Ailin Perez
analysts picked3/3
VS
FIGHT 10
Women's
Bantam
weight
Joselyne Edwards
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Ailin Perez (3 of 3). Method: DECISION (1).
Analysts have picked Ailin Perez a total of 9 times and against 4 times, while Joselyne Edwards has been picked 10 times and against 4 times.
Ailin Perez 3
MONEYLINE
0—
DECISION 1 1✓
METHOD
0—
OVER1.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEAilin Perez Ailin Perez: 3for 1vs Joselyne Edwards: 2for 1vs
MMA EXPERTSlean MONEYLINEAilin Perez METHODDECISION Ailin Perez: 2for 2vs Joselyne Edwards: 4for 1vs
We Want Pickslean MONEYLINEAilin Perez ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 1.5 Ailin Perez: 3for 1vs Joselyne Edwards: 4for 2vs
Alex Morono
analysts picked3/3
VS
FIGHT 11
Welter
weight
Niko Price
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Alex Morono (3 of 3). Method: KO OR SUB and SUBMISSION and DECISION and KNOCKOUT tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Alex Morono a total of 3 times and against 7 times, while Niko Price has been picked 2 times and against 11 times.
Alex Morono 3
MONEYLINE
0—
KNOCKOUT 3 1✓ 2✗
METHOD
0—
KO OR SUB 1 1✗
COMPOUND METHOD
0—
R2 1 1✗
ROUND
0—
UNDER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEAlex Morono METHODKNOCKOUT ROUNDROUND 2 ROUNDS OVER/UNDERUNDER 2.5 Alex Morono: 1for 3vs Niko Price: 1for 4vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEAlex Morono METHODDECISION Alex Morono: 1for 1vs Niko Price: 0for 3vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEAlex Morono METHODSUBMISSION COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Alex Morono: 1for 3vs Niko Price: 1for 4vs
Bassil Hafez
analysts picked3/3
VS
FIGHT 12
Welter
weight
Mickey Gall
OFFICIAL · DECISION · R3 ·5:00 ·UNANIMOUS
▸ The Verdict The room leans Bassil Hafez (3 of 3). Method: KO OR SUB and SUBMISSION and KNOCKOUT tied (1 apiece) — no method consensus.
Analysts have picked Bassil Hafez a total of 4 times and against 2 times, while Mickey Gall has been picked 3 times and against 3 times.
Bassil Hafez 3
MONEYLINE
0—
KNOCKOUT 2 2✗
METHOD
0—
KO OR SUB 1 1✗
COMPOUND METHOD
0—
OVER2.5 1
ROUNDS OVER/UNDER
0 —
PER-CHANNEL BREAKDOWN (3 channels)
channel picks made history both fighters
MMA EXPERTSdefinitive MONEYLINEBassil Hafez METHODKNOCKOUT COMPOUND METHODKO OR SUB Bassil Hafez: 1for 1vs Mickey Gall: 1for 1vs
THE MMA GURUdefinitive MONEYLINEBassil Hafez Bassil Hafez: 1for 1vs Mickey Gall: 1for 1vs
We Want Picksdefinitive MONEYLINEBassil Hafez METHODSUBMISSION ROUNDS OVER/UNDEROVER 2.5 Bassil Hafez: 2for 0vs Mickey Gall: 1for 1vs